Prediction Markets Are Not a Drop-In Replacement for Concepts

In "Comment on a Scene from Planecrash : 'Crisis of Faith'" , I criticized a scene in which Keltham (a magical universe-teleportation victim from an alternate Earth called dath ilan) plays dumb about why a pre-industrial Society would only choose males for military conscription. Planecrash coauthor Eliezer Yudkowsky comments : Keltham wouldn't be …