# resolved (news sources) — RSS Amplifier Recent posts from the 1 feeds in the RSS Amplifier directory that cover resolved. Page: Feed: --- ## [Kalshi Has No Public Leaderboard. Here Is What the Trade Flow Shows.](https://0xinsider.com/research/kalshi-top-traders-leaderboard) _2026-08-20 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Searches for Kalshi top traders hit a structural wall: Kalshi publishes the trade, not the trader. This piece maps what the public flow can show and where the identity boundary sits. ## [Polymarket Leaderboard P&L, Recomputed](https://0xinsider.com/research/polymarket-leaderboard-pnl-recomputed) _2026-08-20 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ A Polymarket trader P&L figure depends on who computed it and on which accounting basis they used. Two tools can show the same wallet very different numbers without either being broken. Here is why, and how our recomputation works. ## [What Four Hours Costs: Late Whale Alerts vs Price Impact](https://0xinsider.com/research/cost-of-late-whale-alerts) _2026-08-20 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Alert products sell speed but none publishes what a delay actually costs. This piece lays out the mechanics of price impact after a large trade, what an honest measurement would need, and where the live feed sits. ## [How Insider Radar Flags Suspicious Trading](https://0xinsider.com/research/how-insider-radar-flags-suspicious-trading) _2026-08-20 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Insider Radar is a multi-signal suspicion model over stored Polymarket trades. This is the methodology: what the signals are, why a flag is a statistical anomaly and never an accusation, and how to review one. ## [Smart Money vs Whale Size: Which Wallets Actually Move Polymarket Prices](https://0xinsider.com/research/smart-money-vs-whale-size) _2026-08-20 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ A large trade and a smart-money signal are not the same event. This piece separates raw size from grade-weighted flow, shows where each one misleads, and stays honest about what neither has proven. ## [How to Get an Edge on NFL Betting](https://0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-get-an-edge-nfl-betting) _2026-08-17 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ DraftKings, FanDuel, and the rest of the betting industry charge a hidden tax on every NFL bet and limit the customers who beat them. Here is how the model works against you, and how to take the edge back. ## [Polymarket Taker Rebates: How the Tier System Actually Works](https://0xinsider.com/learn/polymarket-taker-rebates) _2026-08-16 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Weighted Volume looks like a volume metric. It is a fixed multiple of the taker fee you paid, so no entry price climbs tiers more cheaply than another. Here is the derivation, the fee bill behind every tier, and the one category that charges 64% more for the same progress. ## [Is 0xInsider Worth It? A Data-First Answer](https://0xinsider.com/research/is-0xinsider-worth-it) _2026-08-15 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Pro costs $99 a month. In a 13 August 2026 production snapshot, a flat $100 stake on every settled Pick of the Day produced +$462.29 in net profit, about 4.7 times the monthly price. This article shows that math, its limits, and who should not pay. ## [swisstony: Verified $23,390,424 Polymarket P&L Across 180,079 Resolved Markets](https://0xinsider.com/research/swisstony-polymarket-trader-analysis) _2026-08-15 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ swisstony holds $23,390,424 in Polymarket-owned P&L across 180,079 resolved markets. The win rate is 60.13% and the profit factor is 1.39, which together describe a small per-market edge repeated at very high volume. ## [RN1: Verified $12,787,924 Polymarket P&L on a 51.70% Win Rate](https://0xinsider.com/research/rn1-polymarket-trader-analysis) _2026-08-15 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ RN1 holds $12,787,924 in Polymarket-owned P&L while winning 51.70% of 107,543 resolved markets. The edge per market is close to a coin flip; the size of the record is what carries the total. ## [Point once, get highlights (Sponsored)](https://crawlproof.com/a/G2I5LfyvMkvU) _2026-08-14 · **Sponsored**_ Get minutes worth watching from a whole game — point once ## [0x8dxd: $2,381,888 Polymarket P&L Across 34,444 Resolved Markets](https://0xinsider.com/research/0x8dxd-polymarket-trader-analysis) _2026-08-15 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ 0x8dxd has banked $2,381,888 across 34,444 resolved markets and $200.5 million of volume, on a 54.84% win rate. The provider total and our mirror agree to the cent. ## [vidarx: $659,586.50 Polymarket P&L on a 56.35% Win Rate](https://0xinsider.com/research/vidarx-polymarket-trader-analysis) _2026-08-15 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ vidarx holds $659,586.50 in Polymarket-owned P&L across 17,447 resolved markets, at a 56.35% win rate and a 1.37 profit factor. ## [MuseumOfBees: $218,412.28 on a 1.04 Profit Factor Across 17,680 Markets](https://0xinsider.com/research/museumofbees-polymarket-trader-analysis) _2026-08-15 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ MuseumOfBees wins 52.00% of resolved markets and returns 1.04 per dollar lost. That is about as thin as a working edge gets, and it is worth reading precisely because it is that thin. ## [ColdMath: A 78.43% Win Rate That Banks $135,447.50](https://0xinsider.com/research/coldmath-polymarket-trader-analysis) _2026-08-15 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ ColdMath wins 78.43% of resolved markets, the highest rate in this cohort, and has banked $135,447.50. Accuracy and profit are not the same axis, and this wallet is the clearest illustration of it. ## [How to Invest in Prediction Markets Through Stocks and ETFs](https://0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-invest-in-prediction-markets-stocks-etfs) _2026-08-15 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ You cannot buy Polymarket or Kalshi stock. You can buy the brokers, exchanges, and operators building the industry. Here is who actually earns prediction-market revenue, what the ETF filings look like, and the regulatory risk attached to each name. ## [Closing Line Value on Polymarket and Kalshi](https://0xinsider.com/learn/closing-line-value) _2026-08-08 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Settlement grades the result. Closing line value grades the price, and you can read it the moment trading ends. Here is the formula, the reference instant on each platform, two worked examples, and the costs that come off a gross number. ## [How to Read Sharp-Money Signals in Prediction Markets](https://0xinsider.com/research/sharp-money-prediction-markets) _2026-06-12 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Large trades can direct attention, but size alone does not establish skill, private information, or a future result. This guide explains how to review the available evidence without turning a diagnostic into a prediction. ## [How Efficient Are Prediction Markets? A Calibration Study of 9.5 Million Trades](https://0xinsider.com/research/how-efficient-are-prediction-markets) _2026-06-12 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Across 9.46 million resolved Polymarket positions, implied prices track real outcomes closely: a 5-cent contract resolves true 3.5% of the time, a 95-cent contract 98.4%. The gap opens in the middle, where positions priced 45 to 65 cents win 6 to 9 points more often than the price implied. Here is the calibration curve, the method behind it, and how the per-trader edge is distributed across 8,705… ## [The Smart Money Took the Lock, Not the Side](https://0xinsider.com/news/the-smart-money-took-the-lock-not-the-side) _2026-06-10 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Two S-grade accounts up more than $9.6 million each built Humbert positions all afternoon. An hour before first serve, one sweep filled both of their Bonzi bids at 32 cents and locked their books. What is left still leans Humbert. ## [Four World Cup Favorites, and the Money Agrees With All of Them](https://0xinsider.com/news/four-world-cup-favorites-and-the-money-agrees) _2026-06-09 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Four women's World Cup qualifiers close out tonight with every favorite priced like a near-lock. I sorted the holders: the most profitable accounts and the biggest loser are all on the same chalk. ## [Real SIMs for AI Agents (Sponsored)](https://crawlproof.com/a/sXJi14jAeubC) _2026-06-08 · **Sponsored**_ Pass 2FA and verifications with real carrier numbers via our API. ## [The Knicks Have the Smartest Money. And the Dumbest.](https://0xinsider.com/news/the-knicks-have-the-smartest-money-and-the-dumbest) _2026-06-08 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ New York is up 2-0 and only a coin-flip favorite for Game 3. I sorted the holders: the two most profitable accounts in the market are both on the Knicks, and so are two of the worst. ## [Sports Now Make Up Half of Prediction Markets: The 2026 Data](https://0xinsider.com/research/sports-prediction-markets-2026) _2026-06-07 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Sports categories make up 614,458 of Polymarket's markets (roughly half) and 33,303 of Kalshi's (two-thirds), with $11.6 billion in large-trade flow tracked across both. Prediction markets have quietly become a sports product, and the betting industry is now racing to catch up: both DraftKings and FanDuel launched CFTC-regulated event-contract products in 2026. ## [Prediction Markets vs Sportsbooks: How the Two Betting Models Differ](https://0xinsider.com/research/prediction-markets-vs-sportsbooks) _2026-06-07 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ A sportsbook sets a line and takes the other side of your bet. A prediction market lets the crowd set the price and collects a fee on the volume. That single difference in who holds the risk changes the pricing, the limits, and the data. Here is the primer for anyone in the betting industry trying to make sense of Polymarket and Kalshi. ## [One Wallet Was 85% of the Zverev Bet](https://0xinsider.com/news/one-wallet-was-85-percent-of-the-zverev-bet) _2026-06-07 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Zverev was the favorite at Roland Garros and the smart money agreed. Then I sorted the holders: 85 percent of the entire Zverev side was one S-grade wallet, while sharp whales quietly sat on Cobolli. ## [Liquidity Rewards on Polymarket and Kalshi: How Makers Get Paid](https://0xinsider.com/learn/liquidity-rewards) _2026-05-03 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Polymarket and Kalshi both pay you to post resting limit orders. The mechanics look nothing alike. Here is the actual reward formula on each platform, what eligibility means in practice, and why 0xinsider shows both as a single per-day number. ## [Prediction Market Arbitrage: How Spreads Between Platforms Print Money](https://0xinsider.com/learn/arbitrage) _2026-04-29 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ When the same prediction trades at two different prices on two different exchanges, you can buy the cheap side, take the expensive side, and pocket the gap. Here is the math, the two setups that actually work, and the friction costs that quietly eat your edge. ## [The New 0xinsider Is Here](https://0xinsider.com/news/the-new-0xinsider-is-here) _2026-04-27 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Better data, a faster live feed, and a terminal that leads with live positions instead of a tape of trades. Live now across Polymarket and Kalshi, in time for Polymarket's CLOBv2 cutover. ## [Kalshi Fees Explained: What Every Trader Needs to Know](https://0xinsider.com/learn/kalshi-fees-explained) _2026-04-02 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Kalshi's standard taker fee schedule runs from $0.01 to $0.02 per contract and peaks near 50¢. On maker-fee markets, the raw maker multiplier is 4x lower. Here’s how the math, rounding, and funding costs work. ## [Polymarket Fees Explained: What Every Trader Needs to Know](https://0xinsider.com/learn/polymarket-fees-explained) _2026-03-24 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Polymarket charges taker fees across most market categories. Here is the current formula, the per-category schedule, what a trade actually costs, and how the Maker and Taker Rebate Programs return part of those fees. ## [0xinsider Is Now Open to Everyone](https://0xinsider.com/news/now-available) _2026-03-16 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ A trader drops $400K. The price moves. You find out six hours later on Twitter. That information gap costs real money. Today, it closes. ## [Stream Torrents & IPTV Instantly (Sponsored)](https://crawlproof.com/a/9TGkB03UV9F8) _2026-03-15 · **Sponsored**_ Search magnet links and stream movies, music, books, and live TV in-browser ## [The 10 Highest Earners on Polymarket: $122.1 Million, and Why Only Three Are S-Grade](https://0xinsider.com/research/polymarket-highest-earners-top-10) _2026-03-13 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Ten wallets. $122.1 million in combined profit. But only three of them carry an S-grade, and the biggest political winners are all graded C. The highest earners on Polymarket are not the best traders on Polymarket, and the gap between those two things is the most useful thing on the leaderboard. ## [How to Track Geopolitical Bets on Prediction Markets](https://0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-track-geopolitical-bets-prediction-markets) _2026-03-10 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ A fresh wallet deposited $32,500 and bought Maduro capture shares a week before U.S. forces moved in. It cashed out over $400,000. Every major geopolitical insider case started with the same pattern. You can set up alerts to catch the next one. ## [Historical Behavioral Labels on Polymarket](https://0xinsider.com/research/bots-vs-humans-polymarket-trading) _2026-03-09 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ This page documents a retired March 2026 behavioral-label study and explains why its cohort figures are no longer published without an auditable source. ## [A $36,000 P&L Difference Across Trading-Time Cohorts](https://0xinsider.com/research/when-to-trade-prediction-markets) _2026-03-09 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ In the March 2026 snapshot, traders active between 8-12 UTC average +$21,786 in P&L. Traders active in the 16-20 UTC window average -$14,099. The $36,000 cohort difference is an association, not proof that changing trading hours changes returns. ## [How to Set Up Custom Trade Alerts on 0xinsider](https://0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-set-up-custom-trade-alerts) _2026-03-09 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Stop refreshing the terminal. Set up custom alerts for the exact trades you care about (by category, minimum size, and wallet type) and get notified instantly. ## [NBA Prediction-Market Data: A Source-Boundary Correction](https://0xinsider.com/research/nba-betting-polymarket-whale-data) _2026-03-08 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ The previous NBA analysis mixed conflicting trade totals with hardcoded charts and no reproducible dated source artifact. Those claims and visuals are withdrawn. ## [Prediction Market Trader Grades Explained: What S, A, B, C, D, and F Actually Mean](https://0xinsider.com/learn/prediction-market-trader-grades-explained) _2026-03-04 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Two traders both show six-figure numbers on screen. One has banked steady realized profit across 300 resolved markets. The other is sitting on open positions that have not settled. The grade leads with realized banked profit and screens out unsettled and tiny-sample wallets, so it separates money actually won from paper gains. Here's how to read it. ## [Why Prediction Market Odds Can Add Up to More Than 100%](https://0xinsider.com/learn/why-prediction-market-odds-exceed-100-percent) _2026-03-03 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ When both sides of a prediction market show 80%+ odds, something looks broken. It is not. Here is the mechanics behind overround, bid-ask spreads, and illiquid markets. ## [Introducing Large Positions: See Who's Quietly Building Massive Bets](https://0xinsider.com/news/large-positions-now-open) _2026-03-01 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ A new way to spot conviction before the market moves. Large Positions surfaces traders accumulating massive positions through many small trades, the kind of activity that flies under every other radar. ## [How to Review Followed-Trader Activity on Polymarket](https://0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-follow-trades-real-time) _2026-02-24 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Following a wallet organizes the activity 0xinsider has ingested for that trader. It does not provide exchange-complete or zero-latency monitoring. ## [Beta Ends March 15: What Happens Next](https://0xinsider.com/news/beta-ends-march-15) _2026-02-16 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ The beta program closes on March 15. Here's what changes, what stays, and why locking in now matters. ## [How to Read a Polymarket Order Book](https://0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-read-polymarket-order-book) _2026-02-16 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ A practical guide to reading and interpreting the Polymarket order book, from basic bid-ask mechanics to advanced depth chart patterns used by professional traders. ## [How to Use the Kelly Criterion for Prediction Markets](https://0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-use-kelly-criterion-prediction-markets) _2026-02-16 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ The Kelly Criterion tells you exactly how much to bet when you have an edge. Learn the formula, avoid the pitfalls, and apply it to real prediction market trades. ## [How to Review Unusual Trading on Polymarket](https://0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-spot-insider-trading-polymarket) _2026-02-16 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Unusual timing, size, or wallet clustering can justify further research. None of those signals proves identity, intent, coordination, or inside information. ## [How to Build a Prediction Market Portfolio](https://0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-build-prediction-market-portfolio) _2026-02-16 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Stop betting on individual markets and start thinking like a portfolio manager. Learn how to diversify, size positions, and build a prediction market portfolio that compounds. ## [How to Analyze a Prediction Market Trader's Track Record](https://0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-analyze-trader-track-record) _2026-02-16 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Learn how to separate portfolio totals, market diagnostics, sample depth, risk, and execution evidence before drawing conclusions from a trader profile. ## [How to Trade Prediction Markets During Elections](https://0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-trade-prediction-markets-elections) _2026-02-16 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Elections are the biggest events in prediction markets. Learn the strategies, timing patterns, and analytical frameworks that separate winners from the crowd during election season. ## [How to Use Large Trade Data in Prediction Markets](https://0xinsider.com/learn/how-to-use-whale-trade-data) _2026-02-16 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Large trades move markets and signal information. Learn how to read the 0xinsider Terminal, interpret signal scores, and build a strategy informed by large trader activity. ## [Winning Polymarket Traders: How to Read Evidence Without Stale Benchmarks](https://0xinsider.com/research/what-separates-winning-polymarket-traders) _2026-02-15 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ Correction: the previous wallet comparison and cohort benchmarks were not backed by a committed, reproducible query. This guide now explains what evidence to require before comparing traders. ## [addyfizzle10: Positive P&L in 10,702/10,851 Stored Up-or-Down Markets; -$42,731 Portfolio P&L (July 14, 2026)](https://0xinsider.com/research/15-minute-prediction-markets) _2026-02-15 · 0xinsider — Prediction Market Analytics_ On July 14, 2026, addyfizzle10 had 10,702 positive-P&L stored markets, 139 negative ones, and 10 zeros. Polymarket's canonical portfolio total was -$42,731.