# rational (blogs) — RSS Amplifier Recent posts from the 5 feeds in the RSS Amplifier directory that cover rational. Page: Feed: --- ## [New Podcast: America’s manufacturing crisis isn’t what you think](https://rationaloptimistsociety.substack.com/p/new-podcast-americas-manufacturing) _2026-08-19 · Stephen McBride · Rational Optimist Society_ With Dirac cofounder and CEO Fil Aronshtein ## [The Rockefeller of solar](https://rationaloptimistsociety.substack.com/p/the-rockefeller-of-solar) _2026-08-16 · Stephen McBride · Rational Optimist Society_ No drilling required ## [Ridley: Consensus is another word for groupthink](https://rationaloptimistsociety.substack.com/p/ridley-consensus-is-another-word) _2026-08-13 · Matt Ridley · Rational Optimist Society_ Blood-letting. Freud. Climate science… ## [New Podcast: Is embryo selection eugenics?](https://rationaloptimistsociety.substack.com/p/new-podcast-is-embryo-selection-eugenics) _2026-08-12 · Stephen McBride · Rational Optimist Society_ With Herasight cofounder Jonathan Anomaly ## [I found the American dream… in China](https://rationaloptimistsociety.substack.com/p/make-america-manufacture-again) _2026-08-09 · Stephen McBride · Rational Optimist Society_ Decline and renaissance in El Segundo ## [Ridley: The unspoken truth about wildfires](https://rationaloptimistsociety.substack.com/p/ridley-the-unspoken-truth-about-wildfires) _2026-08-05 · Matt Ridley · Rational Optimist Society_ Awkward for those blaming climate change… ## [New Podcast: The startup turning a volcano into jet fuel](https://rationaloptimistsociety.substack.com/p/new-podcast-the-secret-to-clean-energy) _2026-08-05 · Stephen McBride · Rational Optimist Society_ With Syntholene cofounder and CEO Dan Sutton ## [8 August 2026 - AI Futures](https://rationalitysalon.substack.com/p/8-august-2026-ai-futures) _2026-08-02 · Harold Godsoe · Tokyo Rationality Salon_ Monthly Meetup (ChatGPT and the Window into the Mind) in Nakameguro ## [Quiet skies aren’t free](https://rationaloptimistsociety.substack.com/p/optimists-build-missile-factories) _2026-08-02 · Stephen McBride · Rational Optimist Society_ America’s Achilles heel ## [8 Aug 2025 - Rational Social](https://rationalitysalon.substack.com/p/8-aug-2025-rational-social) _2026-07-31 · Tokyo Rationality Salon_ At Baird Beer Nakameguro Taproom ## [Marketplace for AI-Powered Professionals (Sponsored)](https://crawlproof.com/a/90OF4fgQckVs) _2026-07-31 · **Sponsored**_ Find professionals who use ChatGPT, Copilot, and Claude to deliver work faster. ## [Ridley: Don't tell other people how to flourish](https://rationaloptimistsociety.substack.com/p/ridley-dont-tell-other-people-how) _2026-07-29 · Matt Ridley · Rational Optimist Society_ The problem isn't left-wingery but top-downery ## [Introducing: Optimists Make Money](https://rationaloptimistsociety.substack.com/p/introducing-optimists-make-money-97b) _2026-07-29 · Stephen McBride · Rational Optimist Society_ Watch our first episode on asteroid mining ## [11 Jul 2026 - AI Futures](https://rationalitysalon.substack.com/p/11-jul-2026-ai-futures) _2026-07-05 · Harold Godsoe · Tokyo Rationality Salon_ Monthly Meetup (The Birth of Good and Bad) in Nakameguro ## [11 Jul 2025 - Rational Social](https://rationalitysalon.substack.com/p/11-jul-2025-rational-social) _2026-07-01 · Tokyo Rationality Salon_ At Baird Beer Nakameguro Taproom ## [13 Jun 2026 - AI Futures](https://rationalitysalon.substack.com/p/13-jun-2026-ai-futures) _2026-06-08 · Harold Godsoe · Tokyo Rationality Salon_ Monthly Meetup (How Players Disempower Themselves) in Nakameguro ## [13 Jun 2026 - Rational Social](https://rationalitysalon.substack.com/p/13-jun-2025-rational-social) _2026-06-01 · Tokyo Rationality Salon_ At Baird Beer Nakameguro Taproom ## [Knightian Uncertainty Dispatch — May 2026](https://modelinganunforeseeablefuture.substack.com/p/knightian-uncertainty-dispatch-may) _2026-05-31 · Morten Nyboe Tabor · Modeling An Unforeseeable Future_ Four new papers + two essentials on shifting forecast errors ## [Baseball Cap - Kraken Design](https://shop.maryrose.org/products/baseball-cap-kraken-design) _2026-05-10 · Mary Rose Shop_ Vendor: Mary Rose Shop Type: Price: 17.00 A Rational Explanation Baseball Cap. This is the newest addition to our Rational Explanation range, featuring artwork by artist David Booth, offers a whimsical explanation for the sinking of the Mary Rose. Perfect to add to your kraken or baseball cap collection! Adjustable velcro strap Artist information on the side panel. Available in two sizes - Adult… ## [9 May 2026 - ACX Tokyo](https://rationalitysalon.substack.com/p/9-may-2026-acx-tokyo) _2026-05-05 · JT Booth · Tokyo Rationality Salon_ Spring Schelling! (Lightning Talks) at Berry Bar ## [Knightian Uncertainty Dispatch — April 2026](https://modelinganunforeseeablefuture.substack.com/p/knightian-uncertainty-dispatch-april) _2026-05-01 · Morten Nyboe Tabor · Modeling An Unforeseeable Future_ Four new papers + one essential on what structural change means for monetary policy ## [Ship software peacefully (Sponsored)](https://crawlproof.com/a/F4DKyaQiLyr8) _2026-05-01 · **Sponsored**_ Connect your repo and deploy instantly — Railway handles config, scaling, and monitoring. ## [9 May 2026 - Rational Social](https://rationalitysalon.substack.com/p/11-may-2025-rational-social) _2026-05-01 · Tokyo Rationality Salon_ At Baird Beer Nakameguro Taproom ## [(Sunday) 12 Apr - LessWrong Tokyo](https://rationalitysalon.substack.com/p/sunday-12-apr-lesswrong-tokyo) _2026-04-02 · Harold Godsoe · Tokyo Rationality Salon_ Regular Meetup (Philosophical Zombies) at Berry Bar ## [12 Apr 2025 - Rational Social](https://rationalitysalon.substack.com/p/11-apr-2025-rational-social) _2026-04-01 · André Röhm · Tokyo Rationality Salon_ At Baird Beer Nakameguro Taproom ## [Knightian Uncertainty Dispatch — March 2026](https://modelinganunforeseeablefuture.substack.com/p/knightian-uncertainty-dispatch-march) _2026-03-31 · Morten Nyboe Tabor · Modeling An Unforeseeable Future_ Four new papers + one essential on the revolution in central bank forecasting ## [The Quiet Revolution in Central Bank Forecasting](https://modelinganunforeseeablefuture.substack.com/p/the-quiet-revolution-in-central-bank) _2026-03-27 · Morten Nyboe Tabor · Modeling An Unforeseeable Future_ Central banks are abandoning fan charts and embracing scenarios — but the theoretical foundation is still missing ## [Risk vs. Knightian Uncertainty: Why the Distinction Matters](https://modelinganunforeseeablefuture.substack.com/p/risk-vs-knightian-uncertainty-why) _2026-03-20 · Morten Nyboe Tabor · Modeling An Unforeseeable Future_ The theoretical foundation for why shocks and structural changes require different responses ## [What Should a Forecast Look Like When the World Might Be Changing?](https://modelinganunforeseeablefuture.substack.com/p/what-should-a-forecast-look-like) _2026-03-17 · Morten Nyboe Tabor · Modeling An Unforeseeable Future_ When the uncertainty is about which story we're in, a single forecast isn't enough ## [AI as a Research Collaborator, Not a Paper Mill](https://modelinganunforeseeablefuture.substack.com/p/ai-as-a-research-collaborator-not) _2026-03-09 · Morten Nyboe Tabor · Modeling An Unforeseeable Future_ The debate about AI in research has focused on speed. I think it’s missing the most important part: a room full of experts while you think. ## [From Gatekeeping to Curation: How AI Will Restructure Peer Review](https://modelinganunforeseeablefuture.substack.com/p/from-gatekeeping-to-curation-how) _2026-03-05 · Morten Nyboe Tabor · Modeling An Unforeseeable Future_ Peer review has always done two jobs. AI only makes one of them obsolete. ## [Knightian Uncertainty Dispatch — February 2026](https://modelinganunforeseeablefuture.substack.com/p/knightian-uncertainty-dispatch-february) _2026-02-27 · Morten Nyboe Tabor · Modeling An Unforeseeable Future_ Four new papers + one essential on how central banks are rethinking uncertainty, communication, and policy when the future may not look like the past ## [Chovy's Blog: Agentic Coding (Sponsored)](https://crawlproof.com/a/38f2lq9S5kDB) _2026-02-27 · **Sponsored**_ Personal posts on agentic coding, moshcode CLI, and security findings. ## [Building the Ultimate Python Package for Structural Change — With Claude Code](https://modelinganunforeseeablefuture.substack.com/p/building-the-ultimate-python-package) _2026-02-17 · Morten Nyboe Tabor · Modeling An Unforeseeable Future_ I needed to code a statistical test for a paper revision. Three days later, I had a working toolkit — and a roadmap to something much bigger. ## [Bayesians Commit the Gambler's Fallacy](https://kevindorst.substack.com/p/bayesians-commit-the-gamblers-fallacy-f16) _2026-02-11 · Kevin Dorst · Stranger Apologies_ So real people might not be irrational for doing so, too. ## [Kraken and the Mary Rose - A Rational Explanation - Bag](https://shop.maryrose.org/products/kraken-and-the-mary-rose-bag) _2026-01-30 · Mary Rose Shop_ Vendor: Mary Rose Shop Type: Price: 14.99 Over the years, there have been many suggestions as to why the Mary Rose sank. This artwork, created by artist David Booth, offers a whimsical explanation for the sinking of the Mary Rose . This bag has the design in full colour on both sides. 100% Polyester. ## [Tea Towel - Kraken and the Mary Rose - A Rational Explanation](https://shop.maryrose.org/products/tea-towel-kraken-and-the-mary-rose-a-rational-explanation) _2025-07-08 · Mary Rose Shop_ Vendor: Mary Rose Shop Type: Price: 12.99 Vivid and striking t-towel with the David Booth artwork on. 100% cotton ## [Kraken and the Mary Rose - A Rational Explanation - Adult T-Shirt](https://shop.maryrose.org/products/kraken-and-the-mary-rose-a-rational-explanation-adults-t-shirt) _2025-05-24 · Mary Rose Shop_ Vendor: Mary Rose Shop Type: Price: 19.99 Over the years, there have been many suggestions as to why the Mary Rose sank. This artwork, created by artist David Booth, offers a whimsical explanation for the sinking of the Mary Rose . This black t-shirt adults t-shirt, is available in the following sizes: S,M,L,XL, XXL ## [Kraken and the Mary Rose - A Rational Explanation - Deck Chair](https://shop.maryrose.org/products/deck-chair-featuring-david-booth-artwork) _2025-04-05 · Mary Rose Shop_ Vendor: Mary Rose Shop Type: Price: 210.00 Garden deckchair with the colourful David Booth artwork on the sling. Please note that this item will need to be built and sent direct from our supplier and this may take 7-10 days. ## [Kraken and the Mary Rose - A Rational Explanation - 30x40 Print](https://shop.maryrose.org/products/a-rational-explanation-print-david-booth-artwork) _2025-03-24 · Mary Rose Shop_ Vendor: Mary Rose Shop Type: Price: 30.00 Over the years, there have been many suggestions as to why the Mary Rose sank. This artwork, created by artist David Booth, offers a whimsical explanation for the sinking of the Mary Rose . Printed by Southsea gallery this 30x40print is a vivid take on this image and has a border which mimics an A4 print with a white border ## [Kraken and the Mary Rose - A Rational Explanation - Metal Pin Badge](https://shop.maryrose.org/products/metal-pin-badge-david-booth-artwork) _2025-03-24 · Mary Rose Shop_ Vendor: Mary Rose Shop Type: Price: 4.99 Over the years, there have been many suggestions as to why the Mary Rose sank. This artwork, created by artist David Booth, offers a whimsical explanation for the sinking of the Mary Rose . This Metal Pin Badge is based on the David Booth Artwork and would make a perfect gift for any collector. ## [Kraken and the Mary Rose - A Rational Explanation - A5 Black Notepad](https://shop.maryrose.org/products/a5-black-notepad-rational-explanation) _2025-03-24 · Mary Rose Shop_ Vendor: Mary Rose Shop Type: Price: 12.99 Over the years, there have been many suggestions as to why the Mary Rose sank. This artwork, created by artist David Booth, offers a whimsical explanation for the sinking of the Mary Rose . A5 black notepad. The Kraken part of the notepad has been varnished and is really vivid on the background. ## [Kraken and the Mary Rose - A Rational Explanation - Children's T-Shirt](https://shop.maryrose.org/products/rational-explanation-childrens-t-shirt-david-booth-artwork) _2025-03-24 · Mary Rose Shop_ Vendor: Mary Rose Shop Type: Price: 13.99 Over the years, there have been many suggestions as to why the Mary Rose sank. This artwork, created by artist David Booth, offers a whimsical explanation for the sinking of the Mary Rose . This black t-shirt children's t-shirt, is available in the following sizes: 3-4, 5-6,7-8, 9-11,12-1 ## [A majority didn't vote for a liberal nightmare](https://kevindorst.substack.com/p/a-majority-didnt-vote-for-a-liberal) _2024-11-25 · Kevin Dorst · Stranger Apologies_ On misperceiving the other side ## [No, post-election punditry isn't hindsight bias](https://kevindorst.substack.com/p/no-post-election-punditry-isnt-hindsight) _2024-11-11 · Kevin Dorst · Stranger Apologies_ Let the pundits be pundits