Predictions 2026

These are my predictions for AI (primarily LLM-focused) in 2026 along with my certainty / probability estimates. Agents, Cont&rsquo;d Agents aren&rsquo;t going anywhere. Their capability will increasingly be driven by Reinforcement Learning (RL). We will see a divergence: domains with verifiable tasks (math, coding) will advance rapidly because the reward signals are clear. Subjective domains will…