Bayesian Epistemology Is "Bayes' Theorem Without the Data"

Today's clip is from episode 160 , featuring Vaden Masrani. In this conversation, Vaden lays out a sharp critique of Bayesian epistemology - the roughly hundred-year-old philosophical tradition, popular in some Oxford-adjacent circles, that treats subjective probability estimates as legitimate even when there's no data behind them. Vaden's core objection: doing Bayes' theorem on numbers you made…