The tariff math turns negative as refunds outpace revenue

The Trump administration’s tariff policy has resulted in substantial refunds and continued uncertainty about tariff revenue, Fortune reports. In May 2026, the Treasury refunded approximately $21.97 billion in tariffs while collecting about $21.93 billion. In June, refunds increased to $49.18 billion compared with $23.63 billion in new tariff collections, resulting in negative net customs revenue…