What Kurzin’s Warning and the Raymond Method Say About Axis Churn

In my last piece on Orbán’s defeat , I argued that the right way to understand Putin’s axis-aligned network was not by counting titles, but by counting utility. On that model, if each major node began the post-invasion period at full Lukashenko-level utility to Putin, the network started at 40 and now sits at 20.7, a degradation of roughly 48.25 percent. That was the milestone: not total collapse,…