The LLM Dumb Zone: Why Your AI Gets Worse Before It Runs Out of Context

LLM context windows have a marketed size and a useful size, and they're not the same number. Research shows quality degrades gradually based on absolute token count, not fill percentage, and a 1M-token model at 40% full is far more degraded than a 200K model at 40%. Here's the research behind the Smart Zone, the Warn Zone, and the Dumb Zone, plus a Claude Code statusline that tracks which zone…