Climate and Instability Intelligence Briefing: El Niño and Food Security – How Climate Shocks Could Deepen Hunger Across Vulnerable Regions

El Niño, the warm phase of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, has re-emerged after a multi-year La Niña and is strengthening across the tropical Pacific. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecasts a roughly 60% chance that the event potentially becomes "very strong," and one of the strongest on record.