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The recent Dwarkesh Podcast episode about AI “learning on the job” has no news or discoveries but provokes some thoughts: The true believers of AGI probably are also adherents to the Great Men of History view. Of course this view tends to correlate with seeing the PayPal Mafia boys as once-in-a-generation geniuses, meat-based AGI. I find it more optimistic to see them as competent-enough nerds who…