Bad at Magnitudes

AI success on open-ended problems jumped from 25% to 76% in eight months. That&rsquo;s the topline of Anthropic&rsquo;s recent post . The deeper number, buried two paragraphs down: the doubling time on task length is itself shrinking, from seven months to four. The slope isn&rsquo;t just steep. It&rsquo;s steepening. 1