What's the chance your startup will succeed?

The baserate for all companies The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shares data on the survivorship rates of a all companies. Around 30-35% die before the third year, and around 50% by the fifth year, with surprising regularity. Of all 4.66M companies founded in the year 2000, 2.7M remain, or 18.2%. This seems like a good starting point, or baserate. The BLS also shares data disaggregated by…