Iran War Escalation: Is the MOU Dead? NATO Summit, Strait of Hormuz Strikes & US Military Posture | July 9, 2026

The Islamabad MOU collapsed in three escalation cycles. Iran struck five commercial vessels, CENTCOM responded with 170+ targets across two nights, and no US base has been confirmed damaged despite Iranian claims across Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan — I break down the full exchange ledger, the NATO Ankara fallout, and the three scenarios for what comes next.