Predicting Best Picture at the 2026 Academy Awards

March 9th, 2026 This is definitely the most interesting year that I’ve done this forecast. The SAG, ACE, and WGA awards tightened the race in the final weeks to now the prediction is pretty simple. There’s about a 50% chance that One Battle After Another wins. There’s about a 33% chance Sinners wins. Which leaves about a 17% chance that any of the other eight movies win Best Picture. Putting it…