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Thunder Dan's Best Bets · Jul 9, 2026

Thursday MLB Bets + Props

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Dan Palyo · Thunder Dan's Best Bets

Good morning, friends! You know, sometimes I wake up early and can’t get back to sleep, so I just start working on my various tasks for the day. I usually have a piece of long-form content to write every day, or I should at least be prepping the next piece and digging through stats.

So sure enough, at 4:00 AM, I was up for the day and anxious to dig into baseball stats, while also having football and basketball on the brain for some upcoming projects.

So I have a little extra time this morning that I usually do not, and I have been meaning to get an actual newsletter out to everyone for a while instead of just posting bets daily in the chat.

Today is a weird slate. There are more games than usual, but not as many easy bets (K props), which forced me into some other angles, such as outs props for pitchers and game totals, sides, etc.

Yesterday, we had some success with the F5 bets, and the only game bet that missed was the damn Rockies, who came up a run short. It makes me think that I should lean into those bets more often and force myself out of my comfort zone (K props).

I am still using screenshots today for convenience, as I still need to finish another article before my children wake up and the rest of my day starts. Here are two bets on Novig that I couldn’t log on DOINK to kick things off.

Boston is rolling right now, but is also starting a pitcher who hasn’t pitched in the majors since 2024, Patrick Sandoval. I still like them a lot here, as Chicago is using a mediocre lefty, Anthony Kay. You can take the ML for better odds, but we cash this bet even in a tie by taking the half run, too. Perhaps it’s a bit conservative, but I am trying to win as many bets as possible and build the bankroll.

The Brewers are rolling with Logan Henderson, but I can’t bet on his K prop with him likely being on a pitch count. I do think we can invest in him for the F5; however, the Cardinals are going with Andre Pallante, who is nothing special.

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So the order in which I logged these bets this morning prevents me from sorting them out, as they ended up in multiple screenshots. I logged some of these as early as 5 AM, so the odds are going to move; just be prepared.

Again, I send out a lot of stuff for all subscribers, but I highly encourage those of you who haven’t dabbled with a premium membership to give it a try. There are free trials, and the cost of a membership per month is less than what you’ll pay for a lunch combo at McDonald’s!

Here are the remaining 8 bets on the card; it’s quite a mix, and probably the most varied card I have put out in a while.

Read the original on thunderdanbets.substack.com

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