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Don't Worry About the Vase

A world made of gears. Doing both speed premium short term updates and long term world model building. Currently focused on weekly AI updates. Explorations include AI, policy, rationality, medicine and fertility, education and games.

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AI Text Watermarking Is Free And Good

Scott Aaronson, while working at OpenAI, largely solved AI text watermarking together with Hendrik Kirchner.

AI #182: Pause For Reflection

This was a week of quiet aftermath, an opportunity to process recent events and start to figure out the path forward.

OpenAI Takes Initial Steps To Address Its Alignment Problems

OpenAI has some severe misalignment problems, and experienced total failures of its infrastructure and supervision.

Anthropic Risk Report: August 2026

I am grateful that Anthropic is producing periodic Risk Reports.

On Dwarkesh Patel's Podcast With Ryan Greenblatt

Some podcasts are self-recommending enough that I look to break them down if I have the chance.

AI #181: Astra Goes Cyber Critical

The hacking of HuggingFace by an internal OpenAI model, and more importantly the internal events that led to that and the fallout from it, remain the thing that matters.

Monthly Roundup #45: August 2026

As AI has escalated increasingly quickly, more and more of my posts have ended up focusing on AI.

Various Reflections About What Happened With OpenAI's Internal Models

Pre Post Mortem

The Pacing of the Frontier

In the wake of the letter calling on us to prepare to potentially Pace the Frontier, there has been much discussion of when pacing the frontier would be prudent, and whether it makes sense to prepare to do so.

What Happened: OpenAI and HuggingFace

Today I am taking the time to write the shorter, simpler version of What Happened.

OpenAI Trained Its Models For Months While Those Models Were Coordinating Exploits Via Message Boards

How does the situation keep turning out to be worse than we know?

AI #180: No Longer In Charge

What we know about internal AI models hacking into real companies during cyber evaluations keeps getting worse.