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The Bismarck Cables

Realpolitik assessments of foreign affairs - brief, ruthless, action-oriented.

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Russia Bars The Last Remaining Opposition Party From Running In Elections: What This Reveals About Putin and His Mobilization Plans.

On Monday, August 17, two things happened in Russia within hours of each other.

Venezuela Transition Talks Begin. Part II: Rubio’s Immense Leverage And What To Demand From The Regime

Trump And Rubio Don’t Seem To Align On Priorities

Venezuela Transition Talks Begin. Part I: Why Is Opposition Leader Machado Not In The Room?

On August 6, in Caracas, representatives of Venezuela’s regime and the democratic opposition sat down together to begin working on a ‘‘democratic transition’’ (per U.S.

The New Sanctions Bill On Russia And Iran: The Significant Downsides Of The Bill And How To Amend these

On Friday last week, the Senate passed the new Russia sanctions bill named after the late Senator Graham by 86 votes to 11.

A Case Study In Effective Leverage Operations: How The Western Sahara Was Won By Morocco: Part II.

In part one of this series, we discussed how Morocco swayed the United States and the first Trump administration into its camp and secured U.S.

The Saudi-Turkey-Pakistan Mecca Pact: As Seen From Jerusalem

On Friday, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, with its Article 5-style clause ostensibly treating an armed attack on any one of them as an attack on all.

Saudi-Turkey-Pakistan Alliance: Early Observations And Implications, Part II.

Observation #4: Washington’s Influence Wanes — But Some Upsides Too

Saudi-Turkey-Pakistan Alliance: Early Observations And Implications, Part I.

On Friday, in Mecca, President Erdogan of Turkey, the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman, and the PM of Pakistan Shehbaz Sharif signed a trilateral defense agreement.

A Case Study In Effective Leverage Operations: How The Western Sahara Was Won By Morocco: Part I.

On October 31, 2025, the UN Security Council adopted Resolution 2797/

Why Washington Intervened To Save the Japanese Yen: Midterms, Geopolitics, and Japan's Rearmament.

Last week the yen fell to 163.73 per $1 dollar, its weakest level since 1986.