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The Decision Advantage

This RANE Network podcast series offers risk intelligence and analysis from industry-leading risk experts. RANE is a risk intelligence company that provides business professionals with access to critical insights, analysis, and support, enabling them to better anticipate, monitor, and respond to emerging risks and threats. In the RANE podcast series, risk management experts and thought leaders share best practices for managing business risk, geopolitical risk, physical and cyber security risks,…

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Mali's Jihadist Surge Puts Washington on Alert

On July 22, the Washington Post reported that the Trump administration is considering taking military action against al Qaeda affiliate JNIM in Mali. This comes amid an expansion of jihadist activity across West Africa at large, and follows large-scale attacks by JNIM and its allies across Mali in late April. In this episode of the Decision Advantage, RANE’s Sub-Saharan Africa analyst Remi Dodd…

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The Security Architecture of the Pacific Islands

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE’s Asia-Pacific Analyst Nate Fischler unpacks the complex geopolitical history of the Pacific Islands and lays out the larger strategic stakes and dynamics shaping the region’s security environment. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure…

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Foreseen Effects - The Closing of the Strait of Hormuz

In this episode of RANE’s new mini-series, Foreseen Effects, on The Decision Advantage, we take one verified event, one thing that happened out in the observable world, and we walk the chain. First order. Second order. Third order. And to keep us honest, we bring in an expert to think through the chain of events. Today that's Ryan Bohl, Middle East and North Africa analyst at RANE. Ryan has spent…

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The Outlook for Security in Sub-Saharan Africa

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE's Global Security Analyst Hellen Muzungu discusses unrest risks in various Sub-Saharan countries stemming from the Iran conflict. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information…

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The H2 2026 Economic Roadmap

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE Global Economy Analyst Markus Jaeger provides an update to our Q1 conversation regarding the economic implications of the Iran War. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more…

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What the Hormuz War Means for U.S. Grand Strategy

In this episode of The Decision Advantage podcast, RANE’s Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst Ryan Bohl examines how the current crisis in the Strait of Hormuz is pushing decades of American grand strategy in the Middle East to its breaking point. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to…

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Taiwan Arms Sales and the US-China Trade War

In this episode of The Decision Advantage podcast, RANE Asia-Pacific Analyst Chase Blazek explores how Washington's traditional military support for Taiwan is being leveraged as a high-stakes bargaining chip in the ongoing U.S.-China trade war. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure…

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Ongoing and Emerging Corporate Security Threats: Widening Scope, Worsening Threats

In this episode of The Decision Advantage Podcast, founder of RANE David Lawrence and Silobreaker CEO Geoff Brown discuss insights and analyses shared at RANE’s recent in-person briefing session on key developments shaping today’s threat landscape. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure…

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Will Mythos Change the Cybersecurity Landscape for Better or for Worse?

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE's Cyber Analyst Ali Plucinski addresses the systemic and corporate risks posed by Anthropic’s Claude Mythos, which claims to have unprecedented cybersecurity capabilities, and provides potential roadmaps for organizations to mitigate these threats. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to…

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Key Drivers of the DRC-Rwanda Conflict

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE's Sub-Saharan Africa Analyst Remi Dodd deep dives into the current outlook for the ongoing conflict between Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our…

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The Iran Conflict: Outlook for Negotiations

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE's Middle East and North Africa Analyst Kristin Ronzi provides an update on the current status of Iran-U.S. negotiations and discusses the key imperatives shaping the direction of the talks. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business…

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Iran, Russia, and the Future of Cyber Warfare

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE's Cyber Intelligence Analyst Hayley Benedict provides an analysis of how high-stakes cyber tools are currently defining modern geopolitical conflict. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients.…

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The Outlook for the Legal, Regulatory and Compliance Landscape

RANE’s Legal, Regulatory and Compliance Risk Outlook focuses on the implications of President Trump's legal and regulatory priority divergence from his first term and looks at the new resulting organizational risks associated with these changes. In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE's Senior Legal, Compliance and Regulatory Analyst Beth Siegert unpacks key insights from the LRC Outlook…

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Jihadist Insurgency in the Sahel and West Africa

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE’s Global Security Analyst Hellen Muzungu shares her insights into the rise and spread of Jihadism in West Africa and the Sahel. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information…

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The Impact of the Iran War on the Asia-Pacific Region

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE Asia-Pacific Analyst Chase Blazek breaks down the geopolitical ripples of an Iran conflict and what it means for the regional balance of power across Asia. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our…

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Economic Impacts of the War on Iran

In this episode of The Decision Advantage podcast, RANE’s Global Economy Analyst Markus Jaeger breaks down the potential economic fallout from various Iran conflict scenarios. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information…

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What to Expect from Vietnam’s Leadership Election Results

The 14th National Party Congress in Hanoi has just wrapped up, and To Lam has been reaffirmed as General Secretary. As we look toward the mid-March National Assembly elections, the country potentially faces additional political shifts. RANE’s Asia-Pacific Analyst Nate Fischler unpacks the broad national implications as well as the international impact of these changes. RANE is a global risk…

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RANE Red Alert: What to Watch Following the U.S.-Israeli Attacks on Iran

As the situation in Iran rapidly evolved this weekend, RANE’s analyst team provided continuous, actionable intelligence to keep our clients ahead of the curve. Ryan Bohl RANE’s Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst provides a rundown on events of this past weekend and what to expect going forward. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access…

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The Outlook for a U.S.-Saudi Civilian Nuclear Agreement

In this episode of The Decision Advantage podcast, RANE's Middle East and North Africa Analyst Kristin Ronzi addresses what a civilian nuclear agreement between the United States and Saudi Arabia could look like, reactions to the prospect of allowing uranium enrichment and what a deal could mean for a potential arms race. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security…

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Geopolitical Uncertainty and the Bond Market

Michael Metz, COO for V.I.P. Mortgage, Inc. and Ryan Bohl, RANE’s Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst discuss current geopolitical dynamics and the effects of uncertainty and perception on the bond market. Michael Metz is the Chief Operating Officer for V.I.P. Mortgage, Inc., a mid-sized residential independent mortgage bank based out of Scottsdale, Arizona, with a nationwide presence. He…

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A Look at our Geopolitical Analysis Process

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, South America Analyst Mario Braga breaks down how RANE analysts navigate dynamic geopolitical shifts, using the evolving U.S.-Venezuela relationship as a roadmap. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our…

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What to Expect from Bangladesh's Upcoming Elections

In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE’s South Asia Analyst Misha Iqbal discusses the major players and pressures shaping the outlook for Bangladesh’s first election following the pro-democracy uprising that ousted Sheikh Hasina in 2024. Register here to receive a complimentary subscription to RiskBook, our curated email digest with the latest risk news and analysis, delivered every…

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Beyond the Spread: High Stakes & Hard Truths of Online Gambling

In this episode of RANE Insights, Founder of RANE David Lawrence sits down with Dr. Sarah Church to explore the culture of online gambling and its societal effects. Dr. Church is a clinical psychologist with more than 20 years of experience in research, program development, and treatment of patients with substance use and co-occurring mental health disorders. She is an expert in Mentalization…

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The Geopolitical Power of Water

On September 9, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed inaugurated the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on the Blue Nile at a high-profile ceremony in the presence of several regional heads of state. But while the inauguration of the Renaissance dam was seen as a triumph by many Ethiopians, it sparked fresh backlash from downstream Egypt and Sudan, with Egyptian President Abdel Fatah al Sisi…

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The Outlook for European Politics in 2026

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Director of Analysis Adriano Bosoni and RANE’s Lead Europe Analyst Matteo Ilardo examine the current state of European politics and discuss the forces shaping the geopolitical landscape in Europe through 2026. Register here to receive a complimentary subscription to RiskBook, our curated email digest with the latest risk news and analysis, delivered…

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A Historical Look-back on U.S.-Middle East Relations

For this special episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst Ryan Bohl provides a brief, but substantive historical overview of U.S. involvement in the Middle East over the past 200 years. Register here to receive a complimentary subscription to RiskBook, our curated email digest with the latest risk news and analysis, delivered every weekday morning. RANE…

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The Role of AI in State-Sponsored Cyber Espionage Campaigns

Chinese nation-state actors were observed using Anthropic's Claude Code generative AI coding assistant in an espionage campaign first discovered in mid-September, according to a report from Anthropic released Nov. 13th. In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE’s Cyber Intelligence Analyst Ali Plucinski explores the details of this campaign and discusses what it could mean for the future of…

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Indonesia’s Interest In Israel-Gaza

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE’s Asia-Pacific Analyst, Nate Fischler unpacks the motivations behind Indonesia’s interest in the Israel-Gaza conflict and explores the major constraints and defining factors impacting the country’s domestic policy. Register here to receive a complimentary subscription to RiskBook, our curated email digest with the latest risk news and analysis,…

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U.S.-Venezuela Tensions: Primary Drivers and Constraints

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE’s Latin America Analyst Mario Braga and RANE’s Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst Ryan Bohl explain the dynamics of the current situation between Venezuela and the U.S. and deep dive into the complex history of the relationship that shapes the outlook for various cooperative and/or conflict-ridden scenarios. Register here to receive a…

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Cocaine's Comeback: Past Lessons We Ignored.

In this episode of RANE Insights, Founder of RANE David Lawrence sits down with Dr. Mark Gold to discuss causes and implications of the recent increase of global cocaine production and use. Mark S. Gold, M.D., is an author, inventor, and mentor who has had over 1,000 peer-reviewed publications since beginning his academic career at the University of Florida College of Medicine and Yale University…

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Political Instability in South Asia

In September 2025, Nepal’s government banned major social-media platforms, which ignited wider youth protests over corruption, unemployment, and elite privilege. After days of deadly protests, Prime Minister K.P. Sharma Oli resigned, paving the way for an interim leader to take charge and call for fresh elections for March 2026. This is the most recent political upheaval in South Asia and it’s…

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Geopolitical Implications of The Rise in Gen Z Protests

Political instability is on the rise in Africa, driven by a new wave of youth activism. Gen Z is increasingly vocal in demanding political and economic reforms, as seen in Morocco and Madagascar. In Morocco, the Gen Z 212 protests began in late September, criticizing the government's public service provision, corruption in the government and the current prime minister. In this episode of Essential…

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Who Will Be Japan’s Next Prime Minister?

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Asia-Pacific Analyst Chase Blazek unpacks the results of Japan’s recent LDP leadership election and explores what the outcome means for the country going forward. Register here to receive a complimentary subscription to RiskBook, our curated email digest with the latest risk news and analysis, delivered every weekday morning. RANE is a global risk…

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Trends from RANE’s Fourth Quarter Forecast

RANE recently published our Fourth Quarter Geopolitical and Threat Intelligence Forecasts which cover key trends we're following in the final months of 2025, including U.S. trade policy, the war in Ukraine and conflicts in the Middle East. In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE’s Directors of Analysis Adriano Bosoni and Sam Lichtenstein share a brief overview of the report. DOWNLOAD THE…

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What Gabbard's ODNI Cuts Mean for Corporate Security

Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard has unveiled what she calls ODNI 2.0 — a sweeping overhaul that will cut nearly half of the agency’s workforce, eliminate or consolidate several intelligence centers, and slash more than $700 million in annual costs. RANE’s Cyber Intelligence Analyst Hayley Benedict explains the increased cybersecurity risks associated with the recent ODNI cuts.…

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The Outlook for Fed Independence

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE’s Global Economy Analyst Markus Jaeger analyzes the risks associated with potentially compromised Fed independence in light of President Trump’s criticism of the organization. Register here to receive a complimentary subscription to RiskBook, our curated email digest with the latest risk news and analysis, delivered every weekday morning. RANE is a…

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Remilitarization in the Baltic

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Europe Analyst Matteo Ilardo provides his insights into the causes and implications of rising regional tensions in the Baltic. Register here to receive a complimentary subscription to RiskBook, our curated email digest with the latest risk news and analysis, delivered every weekday morning. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers…

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Inside Authoritarian Power Struggles - Elite Politics, Military Influence, and Strategy in China and Russia

In this episode of RANE Insights, Founder of RANE David Lawrence sits down with author Joseph Torigian to discuss authoritarian geopolitical dynamics and strategy. Joseph studies the politics of authoritarian regimes with a specific focus on elite power struggles, civil-military relations, and grand strategy. He uses primary sources, rare books, and interviews to provide new accounts of historical…

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Brazil’s Evolving Political Climate: Bolsonaro’s House Arrest and Trump’s Tariffs

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Latin America Analyst discusses the future of Brazil’s political environment in light of Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes August 4th decision to put former President Jair Bolsonaro under home arrest for violating restraining orders in a lawsuit related to a coup attempt in 2022. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that…

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The Outlook for South Africa’s Coalition Government

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE’s Sub-Saharan Africa Analyst Rémi Dodd discusses South Africa’s most recent corruption scandal and explains what it could mean for the country’s political environment going forward. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity…

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Inside the Ratings Industry: How Credit Ratings are Shaping the Market

In this episode of RANE Insights, Founder of RANE David Lawrence sits down with President, CEO, and Co-Founder of Kroll Bond Rating Agency Jim Nadler for an in-depth conversation about the credit ratings industry and its influence on the market. Jim Nadler is President, CEO, and Co-Founder of Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA). Prior to joining KBRA, Jim was responsible for all alternative assets in…

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The Future of Gulf-Iranian Relations

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Middle East and North Africa Analyst Kristin Ronzi discusses the impact of the 12-Day war on Gulf Arab countries and lays out what this will mean for Gulf-Iranian relations going forward. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business…

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Japan’s Upper House Parliament Elections

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Asia-Pacific Analyst Chase Blazek discusses the outlook for Japan’s upper house parliamentary elections and explores implications based on likely election scenarios. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience…

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Increased Risk of Cyber Attacks as Conflict with Iran Escalates

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Cyber Intelligence Analyst Hayley Benedict discusses cyber risks associated with the conflict between Iran, Israel, and the U.S.. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information…

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Israel-Iran: How Will it End?

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst Ryan Bohl lays out the major incentives and possible long-term scenarios for the Iran-Israel conflict. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For…

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The Potential for Militia Disarmament in Lebanon

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Global Security Analyst Freddy Khoueiry discusses the prospect and potential implications of disarming militias in Lebanon. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience for our clients. For more information about…

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A Conversation with New York Times Bestselling Author, Colin Woodard

In this episode of RANE Insights, Founder of RANE David Lawrence sits down for a conversation with Colin Woodard, New York Times Bestselling Author and Pulitzer Prize Finalist. Colin Woodard – a New York Times bestselling historian and Polk Award-winning journalist – is one of the most respected authorities on North American regionalism, the sociology of United States nationhood, and how our…

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Is Sugar Really Poison?

In this episode of RANE Insights, Founder of RANE David Lawrence speaks with Dr. Mark Gold about the harmful effects of sugar on the human body. Dr. Gold is an author, inventor, and mentor who has had over 1,000 peer-reviewed publications since beginning his academic career at the University of Florida College of Medicine and Yale University School of Medicine in the 1970s. He is best known for…

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The Future of Australia's Political Landscape

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Asia-Pacific Analyst Nate Fischler provides an overview of Australia’s current political environment in light of the country’s recent election and Trump’s tariff plan. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to ensure business continuity and resilience…

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An Update on Global Economics

In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Middle East and North Africa Analyst Ryan Bohl and RANE’s Global Economy Analyst, Markus Jaeger discuss the outlook for the global economy given the Trump administration’s aggressive approach to tariffs. RANE is a global risk intelligence company that delivers risk and security professionals access to critical insights, analysis and support to…

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