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Tarot FSO

This is the blog of Jack Duval, who does investment management, consulting, and writing.

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Gold is Money, Everything Else is Credit

J.P.

The Steaks are High

And so is the chef

BREAKING: Panic at the Disco!!!

I wrote about financial repression last week, and it arrived 30 minutes ago.

Time for a Charticle!

Here’s a wild one: 26 percent of Gen Z individuals treat sports betting as part of their investment strategy.

Inflation, Rates, and Financial Repression

Yesterday’s CPI numbers came in benign, right on the screws, with no surprises.

Promotion and Risk Management

Last night I got promoted to blue belt at the 10th Planet BJJ gym in New York City.

Bessent Sells Maybachs for Mazdas

... but finds the ride is really poor.

A Medieval Warning from the Hunger Stones

All you Tarot OGs know about my writings on The Long Emergency.

Bantam July 2026 Investor Letter

The news flow continues to be on 11, we have a new Fed Governor who doesn’t have any credibility, and the former hedge fund manager running Treasury is stabbing the Yen carry trade in the neck.

The Peter Lynch Method Says the Death of AI May Be In

Legendary investor Peter Lynch used to say that if you paid attention to your daily life, you would see things that you could use to invest successfully, way before Wall Street figured it out.

*** Flash Alert: *** Sell Into the Citadel Takedown of Situational Awareness

This one goes out to all of you in the trenches out there.

The Bond Market and the Dollar Call BS on Warsh

After an entire professional career of railing against the “excessively large” Fed balance sheet, pantywaist Fed Governors who were soft on inflation, and promising “regime change” into a Fed that has “no tolerance for persistently elevated inflation”, Kevin Warsh rolled up into his first real presser yesterday wearing John Lennon glasses and telling people to tune in, turn on, and not hike.