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Stablecoin Brief · Jul 6, 2026

Open USD guts Circle's stock

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Kevin Fernandes · Stablecoin Brief

A stablecoin that has processed exactly zero transactions just wiped billions off a real company’s market cap in one afternoon. Circle didn’t lose a single USDC customer last week. It lost 17.55% of its stock price anyway, on nothing but a press release and a list of logos. Wall Street, it turns out, prices in vibes just fine.

In this week’s brief:

  • Open USD launches with 140-plus partners, Circle’s stock craters, and the most interesting part isn’t even the launch

  • MiCA’s transitional period ends and USDT gets locked out of the EU for good

  • Crédit Agricole, BNY, and PayPal all quietly expand the stablecoin plumbing while everyone was watching Circle’s stock chart

On June 30, a consortium of more than 140 companies, Visa, Mastercard, Stripe, BlackRock, Coinbase, BNY, American Express, Google, and Shopify among them, announced Open USD, a dollar stablecoin with zero mint and redemption fees and no volume caps. Circle’s stock dropped 17.55% that day to a four-month low. The joke practically writes itself: it’s the most expensive product launch in stablecoin history, and the product isn’t live yet.

The pitch: Open USD is governed by a new nonprofit-style entity called Open Standard, run by founding CEO Zach Abrams (who co-founded Bridge before Stripe bought it in 2024). Instead of Circle’s model, where distribution partners negotiate individually for a cut of reserve interest, OUSD makes revenue-sharing the default: every partner gets a slice of the yield after a small management fee. It’s launching later this year, starting on Solana.

What Open Standard hasn’t said: anything about reserve composition, attestation cadence, redemption windows, the final list of supported chains, or the actual revenue-split formula. Ark Invest’s Lorenzo Valente compared the whole structure to Diem, Facebook’s stablecoin project that died under the weight of coordinating too many corporate egos. A consortium of 140 competing companies making decisions together has no working precedent, and “glacial” is the polite word for how that usually goes.

The Coinbase angle nobody’s writing about: Coinbase is a founding OUSD member. Coinbase is also the party that has collected over $908 million from Circle under a revenue-share deal that expires August 18, less than two months from now. By joining the consortium built to make that exact kind of negotiated payout obsolete, Coinbase just handed itself leverage on both sides of the renewal table. It gets to sit across from Circle in August and say: match this, or we walk.

What actually moved the stock: part of the 17.55% wasn’t even about OUSD. FTSE Russell’s annual index reconstitution landed the same day, booting Circle from several Russell growth indexes and forcing mechanical selling from funds that track them, with or without an Open USD press release.

By the numbers:

  • 17.55%: Circle’s single-day stock drop on June 30, a four-month low

  • ~$908M: total fees Circle has paid Coinbase under their current revenue-share deal

  • August 18, 2026: when that deal’s initial term expires, weeks after Coinbase joined OUSD

  • 96%: the share of Circle’s revenue that comes from interest on USDC reserves, the exact model OUSD’s default yield-sharing is built to undercut

Nobody’s stablecoin actually changed hands last week. A logo list and a governance memo did $60 billion in mark-to-market damage anyway.

A stablecoin that doesn’t exist yet just cost Circle a chunk of its market cap, and the company most responsible for the pain is also the company still cashing Circle’s checks until August. Watch what Coinbase actually asks for at the renewal table. That’s the real story, not the logo list.

Read the original on stablecoinbrief.substack.com

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