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Sean Elvidge

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Space Weather - The Musical

What does a geomagnetic storm sound like? Not metaphorically. Literally.

Who wins in a 48 team World Cup - Panini

Who is the biggest winner of the new, larger, 48 team World Cup? Panini, with the increase in the numbers of stickers to complete their album.

When Good Ideas Don’t Survive Contact With Data - A December Football Myth Tested

Every so often I come up with what feels like a good idea for a blog post. But they don't always work out, this is the story of my investigations into the congested English football December schedule and whether it gives certain teams an advantage.

Christmas Day Football - The Lost Tradition

It's been exactly 60 years since the last English league match was played on Christmas Day. Here’s a look back at how Christmas Day football began, what made it special, and why it came to an end.

How to Calculate League Position Probabilities

The methodology behind how I calculate the probabilities of where the different teams in the English football league will end up.

Tracking Football Team Strengths with a Bayesian Kalman Model

The methodology behind my football team strength model.

Football Bogey Grounds and How Statistics Can Prove Them

Can a football club actually have a statistically verifiable football bogey ground or is it just bad luck?

Why Our Next Big Solar Storm Warning Could Still Be a Guess

Accurate space-weather forecasting will always involve uncertainty, but it need not remain dominated by blind spots. The November storm was a reminder that our current system can predict the possibility of major events yet cannot confirm their true character until it is almost too late.

40 points to avoid relegation?

40 points is the classic benchmark to avoid relegation from the Premier League, is this the right value?

New space weather modelling suite enables upper atmosphere forecasting

New suite of space weather forecasting models focuses on how space weather can influence the thermosphere and ionosphere here on Earth.