5,000
That’s not a typo, and it’s not clickbait. This week, my book Back to the Futures crossed 5,000 copies sold across print, audio, and ebook versions. When Doug Peterson and … Read More Test
Scott Irwin
Professional website for Dr. Scott H. Irwin
Latest posts
The New Grain Giants and the USDA
There is a large literature on the accuracy and market impact of USDA crop forecasts for the United States—by one recent count, 77 studies on usda forecast accuracy were published … Read More Test
RIN Prices, Pump Prices, and a Lot of Confusion
Jarrett Renshaw at Reuters has a nice piece this week on challenges in meeting the Trump administration’s aggressive RVOs for biomass-based diesel in 2026 and 2027. The story also discusses … Read More Test
The E15 Bill: Uncertain Benefits vs. Certain Costs
HR 1346 — the Nationwide Consumer and Fuel Retailer Choice Act — passed the House by a narrow margin this week and now goes to the Senate for consideration. The … Read More Test
400
This week, I published my 400th farmdoc daily article. Four hundred. It still doesn’t quite feel real to type that number. To put that in perspective: 400 articles works out … Read More Test
The RFS
After 15 years of work with some extraordinary collaborators, I’m thrilled to share that “ The Biofuels Blueprint: Understanding the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard ” has been published as a … Read More Test
Cows and Courses
When Doug Peterson and I wrote Back to the Futures , we aimed at a general audience — farmers, grain traders, market analysts, and curious readers. We didn’t really think … Read More Test
Master Teacher
One of the best parts of writing my book Back to the Futures has been discovering the unexpected ways it has been used in and out of the classroom. With … Read More Test
Does Complexity Pay in Forecasting?
Research on forecasting across a multitude of economic time series demonstrates an interesting principle: simple, robust statistical models tend to dominate in terms of forecast accuracy. The core finding traces … Read More Test
Daredevils and Speculators
“Then we heard the high-pitched whir of a snowmobile engine far in the distance. It was like a scene from a World War II movie, where the Americans hear the … Read More Test