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Ukraine Conflict Monitor · Apr 10, 2025

RedHorizon | Test Issue #3

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Konrad Muzyka · Ukraine Conflict Monitor

Following your feedback on Issue 2, we’re back with the latest edition of our weekly update on Eastern European security dynamics.

This week’s analysis covers:

  • Escalation of energy infrastructure strikes despite a deconfliction moratorium;

  • Ukraine’s 12 Army Corps, Khortytsia reforms & 100k artillery missions in March;

  • Russia’s plan to add 150,000 troops and produce 250k shells/month;

  • Belarus’ massive PETN seizure and NBC drills;

  • Baltic states accelerating hardening measures—concrete bunkers, AI, and missile production;

  • US force withdrawal signals from Poland.

Plus: forward-looking escalation scenarios, strategic risk outlooks, and key defence-industrial trends.

Feedback always welcome.

Please click here to download the issue.

We also want to let you know that Issue 4 will be the last free edition of RedHorizon.

We'll be taking a short publishing break from 16–22 April and will return on 30 April under a paid subscription model. If you're interested in subscribing, feel free to drop me a message.

Going forward, our Substack will only feature shortened monthly summaries and occasional content not related to RedHorizon.

Best,
Konrad

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