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Japan Economy Watch · Aug 1, 2026

¥370 Trillion Won’t Yield Miraculous GDP Boost If Companies Can't Compete

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Richard Katz · Japan Economy Watch

Source: https://www.nomuraconnects.com/focused-thinking-posts/investing-for-a-strong-and-prosperous-japan/ Note: These eleven projects out of 56 account for two-thirds of the ¥370 trillion in investments and 80% of the ¥3,000 trillion projected economic benefits. The numbers in parentheses are the claims for how much GDP will grow for each yen of new investment over the latter’s lifetime.

Key Points:

  • Being the most efficient producer of a car, and packing it with futuristic technologies, won’t help if no one wants to buy your car

  • Takaichi’s ¥370 trillion growth plan promises miraculous economic paybacks, e.g., ¥8 trillion invested in autonomous driving will supposedly boost GDP 23 times the amount invested

  • Similar promises in AI, AI-related chips and AI-related healthcare

  • Given Japan’s poor track record in software and “big data,” is this realistic?

  • How come Japan’s performance in advanced fields doesn’t match the huge amounts invested in them?

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