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This month’s open thread on climate topics. The annual ranking horse race is in full swing, discussions of extreme weather abound, Arctic sea ice is reaching it’s annual minimum, and the future of evidence-based policy making seems dim. Oh well. The post Unforced Variations: Aug 2026 first appeared on RealClimate .
There is a new El Niño out there and it was officially declared already on June 11 by NOAA. This is both unusually early in the year and very soon since the last El Niño in 2023-24. Another remarkable thing is the seasonal forecasts, which for a couple of months have indicated that it may […] The post This new El Niño is different first appeared on RealClimate .
This month’s open thread on climate topics. Impending El Niño, fossil fuel funded wedges, retirements, heat waves, and the same old, same old, from the usual suspects. Try to discuss these things calmly! The post Unforced Variations: July 2026 first appeared on RealClimate .
This month’s open thread on climate topics. Please be respectful and substantive. The post Unforced Variations: June 2026 first appeared on RealClimate .
The 4th UArctic congress on the Faroe islands finished with the message that the Arctic Council is still alive. It has overcome recent setbacks with difficulties concerning two of its member states, Russia and the US. The Arctic Council represents 8 nations together with indigenous peoples and has observers from around the world, and this […] The post “The Arctic Council is not dead” first…
The fantasy version of the normal updating of scenarios for a new round of CMIP simulations doing the rounds is bad faith BS. As climate folk will know, the community is currently embarking on a new round of climate model simulations to support analyses and projections for the next IPCC report (due in 2028/9). This […] The post Scenarios, schmenarios… first appeared on RealClimate .
This month’s open thread on climate topics. El Niño coming (shades of 2023), competitive predictions, ill-advised geo-engineering ideas, and massive shifts in renewable energy roll out. Surely something there to discuss… The post Unforced Variations: May 2026 first appeared on RealClimate .
Somewhat belated open thread for this month! (Oops). Please stick to climate related topics, and remain respectful. The post Unforced Variations: Apr 2026 first appeared on RealClimate .
Confirmation bias and a profound lack of curiosity mark the latest ABC (Anything But Carbon) contrapalooza in DC this week and a decade-old albedo error trips them up. I occasionally dip into the contrarian-sphere to see if there is anything new that might be of actual interest. I am usually disappointed, and last week’s escapade […] The post A reflection on reflection first appeared on…
We previously highlighted Roy Spencer’s poor practices in comparing models with observations, but we’ve now dug down a little deeper, and it’s not pretty. A few weeks ago, the email exchanges of the CWG authors were published after a court ordered them to be made public. In them, there is an interesting exchange between Steve […] The post Spencer’s Shenanigans: Part II first appeared on…
