P.S. A note before we begin - got some feedback that the Quantum Frontier (now Quantum Capital) is good analysis for the financial and big picture vision, but there’s desire some more boots-on-the-ground content… The Quantum Engineer is starting up for the 101, 102, 201… for the practical, hands-on approach in the new era of practical quantum computing. Subscribe here for it separately.
You know a field is undergoing a phase shift when the people redefining its timelines are outsiders. We knew it was coming, but with AI, it’s moving faster than expected.
Here’s Charles Guillemet. He’s the CTO of Ledger, a hardware crypto wallet company. He is not a quantum physicist, and he is not part of the academic quantum lore. Yet he’s tracking the Q-Day metric closely: how many qubits it takes to run Shor’s algorithm against elliptic curve cryptography.
In an April analysis, he called the post-quantum migration a Y2K-scale event and said the industry is still underestimating it, based on Google’s…

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