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Probable Causation

A show about law, economics, and crime. Hosted by Jennifer Doleac , economist and author of The Science of Second Chances: A Revolution in Criminal Justice .

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Episode 127: Manisha Shah on reducing intimate partner violence among young people in Tanzania

Manisha Shah talks about reducing intimate partner violence among young people in Tanzania. " Sex, Power, and Adolescence: Intimate Partner Violence and Sexual Behaviors " by Manisha Shah, Jennifer Seager, Joao Montalvao, and Markus Goldstein. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “ Income Changes and Intimate Partner Violence: Evidence from Unconditional Cash Transfers in Kenya " by Johannes…

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Episode 126: Juan Vargas on the unintended consequences of an anti-drug policy in Colombia

Juan Vargas talks about the unintended consequences of an anti-drug policy in Colombia. " The Rise and Persistence of Illegal Crops: Evidence from a Naive Policy Announcement " by Mounu Prem, Juan F. Vargas, and Daniel Mejía. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “ Inside the war on drugs: Effectiveness and unintended consequences of a large illicit crops eradication program in Colombia " by…

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Episode 125: David Phillips on the effects of free public transit

David Phillips talks about the effects of providing free public transit. " Eliminating Fares to Expand Opportunities: Experimental Evidence on the Impacts of Free Public Transportation on Economic and Social Disparities " by Rebecca Brough, Matthew Freedman, and David C. Phillips. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “ Getting to Work: Experimental Evidence on Job Search and Transportation…

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Bonus episode 16: Jennifer Doleac and Kathryn Paige Harden in conversation about their new books

Jennifer Doleac and Kathryn Paige Harden have a conversation about their new books, both about crime and punishment. Jen’s book: The Science of Second Chances: A Revolution in Criminal Justice . Paige’s book: Original Sin: On the Genetics of Vice, the Problem of Blame, and the Future of Forgiveness . Jennifer Doleac is the Executive Vice President of Criminal Justice at Arnold Ventures. Paige…

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Episode 124: Steeve Marchand on the effects of prison programs

Steeve Marchand talks about the effects of prison programs on behavior. " Prison Rehabilitation Programs and Recidivism: Evidence from Variations in Availability " by William Arbour, Guy Lacroix, and Steeve Marchand. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “ Thinking, fast and slow? Some field experiments to reduce crime and dropout in Chicago " by Sara B. Heller, Anuj K. Shah, Jonathan Guryan,…

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Episode 123: Ezra Golberstein on school-based mental health services

Ezra Golberstein talks about the impacts of school-based mental health services. " Effects of School-Based Mental Health Services on Youth Outcomes " by Ezra Golberstein, Irina Zainullina, Aaron Sojourner, and Mark A. Sander. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: " Investing in Children to Address the Child Mental Health Crisis " by Janet Currie. “ The FDA and ABCs: Unintended Consequences of…

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Episode 104: Oeindrila Dube on cognitive behavioral training for police (REBROADCAST)

Check out my new book! The Science of Second Chances: A Revolution in Criminal Justice In this episode of Probable Causation: Oeindrila Dube talks about a cognitive behavioral training program for police. This episode was first posted in April 2024. “ A Cognitive View of Policing ” by Oeindrila Dube, Sandy Jo MacArthur, and Anuj Shah. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: " Thinking, fast and…

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Episode 122: Vijetha Koppa on Lethality Assessment Programs

Vijetha Koppa talks about Lethality Assessment Programs used by police in domestic violence incidents. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: " Does the Certainty of Arrest Reduce Domestic Violence? Evidence from Mandatory and Recommended Arrest Laws " by Radha Iyengar. " Revisiting the Effect of Warrantless Domestic Violence Arrest Laws on Intimate Partner Homicides " by Yoo Mi Chin and Scott…

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Episode 121: Peter Blair on occupational licenses as information about criminal records

Peter Blair talks about occupational licenses as information about criminal records. “ Job Market Signaling through Occupational Licensing ” by Peter Q. Blair and Bobby W. Chung. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “ The Prevalence and Effects of Occupational Licensing " by Morris M. Kleiner and Alan B. Krueger. “ Analyzing the Extent and Influence of Occupational Licensing on the Labor…

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Episode 120: Joseph Doyle on improving foster care outcomes

Joseph Doyle talks about improving foster care outcomes. “ Effects of Enhanced Legal Aid in Child Welfare: Evidence from a Randomized Trial of Mi Abogado ” by Ryan Cooper, Joseph J. Doyle, and Andrés Hojman. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “ The Effects of Legal Representation on Tenant Outcomes in Housing Court: Evidence from New York City’s Universal Access Program ” by Michael T.…

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