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PREDICTABLE

Founded by Stu Burguiere, PREDICTABLE is a daily lens on the news through prediction markets.

predictable.substack.comSource feed ↗12 episodes

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Have You Contracted Screwworm?

The numbers on the Screwworm parasite markets for the U.S. are a bit... concerning...

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Florida Just Gave Us a $16 Million Warning

A socialist nobody expected just beat the Democratic establishment, and the prediction markets missed it too.

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Tune In for BIG VALUE Opportunities TONIGHT!

Previewing tonight’s primary election coverage

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How I'm Responding as the Market Is Getting Smarter

The easy 10% and 20% primary trades are disappearing. Here’s where I’m looking next.

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STU'S PICKS

Friday, August 14, 2026

We Just Had a Major 2028 Presidential Market Shift... Here's Why I'm (Mostly) Staying Away

She's surging, but try to resist the temptation...

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I Lost My Hong

Wisconsin went completely insane, I went down with the ship, and now we need a constitutional amendment.

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Tomorrow Is Going to Get Weird

The polls and markets are disagreeing in some very interesting places. That’s where the fun starts.

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STU'S PICKS

Friday, August 7, 2026

This Legend Went From Nukes to Election Odds

Also: I Am Not a Trader, I Am a Level Seven Oracle

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The Haley Hail Mary

I thought this trade was dead... then we bagged over 2000%

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The Market Got Too Confident

Tomorrow's primaries have created some golden opportunities...

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