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Population Next · Jul 24, 2026

Housing starts up, flash flooding, NYC PIT crew — and more

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Bradley Schurman · Population Next

Corpus Christi, Texas

New residential construction data shows housing starts jumped, but permits pulled back. The Census Bureau and HUD reported June 2026 figures on July 17: housing starts rose 19.0 percent from May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,427,000, up 3.5 percent from a year earlier. But building permits — the better leading indicator — fell 3.0 percent from May to 1,367,000, with single-family authorizations down 2.4 percent. The gap between a strong starts number and a softening permits number suggests builders are working through an existing backlog rather than committing to new supply.

Why It Matters: Population Renewal depends on housing supply keeping pace with demand. A pipeline that looks strong on completions but weak on new permits is a lagging indicator dressed up as a leading one — the kind of number that looks better in a headline than it will in twelve months of inventory data.

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau and HUD, New Residential Construction, June 2026 (released July 17, 2026).

Foreclosure filings are up sharply nationwide, and the impact isn’t evenly spread. An ABC News analysis of ATTOM data found foreclosure filings rose 21 percent in the first half of 2026 compared to the same period last year, and 28 percent compared to 2024. Filings are up 71 percent since 2020. Florida had the highest average yearly foreclosure rate per ZIP code, followed by New Jersey, Delaware, Nevada, South Carolina, Illinois, California, Maryland, Ohio and Arizona. Majority non-white ZIP codes saw foreclosure rates more than three times the national average. Higher mortgage rates, rising property taxes and insurance costs, and the end of pandemic-era protections are the cited drivers.

Why It Matters: This is the other side of the housing story above. New supply doesn’t help if existing homeowners are losing what they already have, and the unevenness by ZIP code shows Population Renewal isn’t just about growth — it’s about who gets to keep a foothold once they have one.

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau and HUD, New Residential Construction, June 2026 (released July 17, 2026); ABC News/ABC Owned Television Stations analysis of ATTOM data, “Foreclosures on the rise nationwide, data shows” (July 23, 2026).

A second heat dome of the month set records across the northern Rockies and Plains. Montana broke more than 130 daily heat records in mid-July, with one station reaching 116°F on July 13 — a degree short of the state’s all-time record. Death Valley hit 120.9°F on July 15, the hottest reading recorded anywhere in the country this year. Nationally, more than 1,400 daily heat records fell in July through the 19th, on top of 1,035 in June. A confirmed super El Niño is keeping the heat-dome pattern locked in place through the summer.

Why It Matters: Climate Resilience scores capture more than coastal flood risk. Inland heat extremity — especially in places without the cooling infrastructure of denser metros — is becoming a defining variable for where people can reasonably live and work through the summer months.

Flash flooding hit multiple regions in the same week, exposing stormwater systems built for a different climate. West Virginia saw record flooding Tuesday night, with one stream gauge cresting above 10.6 feet. Utah had flash flooding Sunday in a wildfire burn scar. Texas’s Hill Country flooded again, with campers rescued from cabin rooftops. New York City went from heat wave to wildfire-smoke haze to flash flooding within days in mid-July, with water rushing into subway stations. New York’s stormwater system is built to handle up to 1.75 inches of rain per hour — a threshold now being exceeded with increasing frequency. More flash flood emergencies are expected before the month ends as Tropical Storm Bertha interacts with a stalled front over the southern Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas.

Why It Matters: This is a Governance and Foresight problem as much as a weather problem. Stormwater infrastructure sized for a mid-20th-century rainfall model is failing in real time in some of the country’s best-resourced cities, not just its most exposed ones.

Sources: CNN, “July is flash flood emergency season now” (July 23, 2026); NOAA/National Weather Service seasonal heat record data.

New York City’s new in-house tech teams drew 2,800 applicants in their first week. Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Chief Technology Officer Lisa Gelobter launched the Public Interest Technology (PIT) Crew initiative on July 13, embedding small teams of technologists directly inside city agencies to build digital tools quickly rather than relying on outside contractors. The first crew is working with the Department of Consumer and Worker Protection to build a portal enforcing the city’s new “Click to Cancel” subscription rules. The city plans to hire 30 full-time staff across four crews on $5.24 million in baselined funding, with a fifth crew backed by the Rockefeller Foundation. As of late July, roughly 2,800 people had applied, an early signal of interest ahead of the first crew’s real-world test.

Why It Matters: Governance and Foresight isn’t only about regulating outside technology — it’s also about whether a city can build its own. New York is testing an in-house model at the same moment the state is pausing large-scale data center permitting, two different bets on how much technical capacity government should hold directly.

Gov. Hochul explained her reasoning behind New York’s data center moratorium in a new interview. Nine days after signing the executive order pausing state permits for hyperscale data centers (50+ megawatts) for up to a year, Hochul told NBC News that tech companies “are flooding the zone” with construction faster than states and localities can manage. She said the decision followed requests from local governments seeking help managing the buildout. The order, the first statewide moratorium of its kind, also directs state regulators to build a new environmental review framework and community investment structure during the pause.

Why It Matters: Automation Readiness isn’t just about whether a metro can plug into the AI economy — it’s about whether governance can move at the same speed as the buildout. Hochul’s framing puts the burden explicitly on the state to catch up, rather than on localities to accommodate.

Sources: NBC News, “New York Gov. Kathy Hochul explains why she signed the first statewide moratorium on data centers” (July 23, 2026).

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Read the original on populationnext.substack.com

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