Scale-Aware Rating of Count Forecasts

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Our ML group at Blue Yonder , with Malte Tichy, has published a new paper on Scale-Aware rating of Count Forecasts . Forecast accuracy is something every data team tracks — but judging how good a forecast actually is turns out to be much harder than it looks. This paper introduces a simple but powerful idea: you can’t fairly judge a forecast unless you compare it to what is theoretically possible…

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