Writings hosted elsewhere
The Breakthrough Institute Interactive Brokers Campus
Patrick T. Brown, PhD
It’s easy to construct a persuasive argument, it’s much more difficult to figure out the truth…
Latest posts
The Potential for Fuel Reduction to Offset Climate Warming Impacts on Wildfire Intensity in CA
Talk at the January 2025 American Meteorological Society s annual meeting on research published here: https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/adab86
The Social Feedback Loop that Puts Blinders on Climate Science
Correcting the Record Regarding My Essay in The Free Press
Last week, I wrote an opinion piece in The Free Press on perverse incentives in scientific publishing. I described the strong incentives researchers face to publish high-profile papers and how those incentives naturally push researchers to mold their research questions and the Continue reading
The Not-so-Secret Formula for Publishing a High-Profile Climate Change Research Paper.
There is a formula for publishing climate change impacts research in the most prestigious and widely-read scientific journals. Following it brings professional success, but it comes at a cost to society. This is a version of a piece that is Continue reading
New Article highlighting a conceptual error in the peer-reviewed literature that leads to major exaggerations of the influence of climate change on extreme weather impacts
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Overestimating the Human Influence on the Economic Costs of Extreme Weather Events
Estimating the human influence on extreme weather events and their economic costs is relevant to many policy discussions around climate change including those that concern the social cost of carbon. There are many different ways to estimate the economic costs Continue reading
Meteorology and Climatology of Wind and Solar Droughts
We have a paper out on a field of increasing importance in meteorology: The analysis of synoptic-scale extreme reductions in wind and solar power energy resources (i.e., wind and solar “droughts”). If you like talks more than papers here is Continue reading
Claims in “How Climate Migration Will Reshape America” vs. observational data
A few people asked me about the accuracy of a recent NY Times Magazine / NY Times Daily Podcast story “How Climate Migration Will Reshape America”. It contains plenty of interesting discussion on e.g., property insurance under a changing climate Continue reading
Tipping Points in the Climate System
Lecture on tipping points in the climate system from my frosh, general education level Global Warming course.