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Overcoming Bias

This is a blog on why we believe and do what we do, why we pretend otherwise, how we might do better, and what our descendants might do, if they don't all die.

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No-New-Physics Consciousness

There is a vast literature near the topic of this post, much of which has developed specialized vocabularies and concepts.

Digital Mind Suicide

Greg Egan’s 1994 novel Permutation City depicts digital minds having a right to suicide; if they push a particular internal button, they end.

Digital Mind Castes

Humans have two main relations to animals: they are either food or pets.

The Modern Mind's Fatal Flaw

Here’s a quick history of minds.

Easy To Hard Discipline Academic Careers Paths

Tasks often vary along a dimension where some tasks matter more, yet are also harder to judge for quality of performance.

How To Be A Usually-Right Contrarian

We rightly celebrate rebels who were initially contrarian on key claims, but then got the world to later agree with them.

Status And Social-Skill Bias

The following table gives medians of 3 LLM estimates re % relative importance for short term success in 5 areas of life of these 4 factors:

Why Sheep Need Pigs in Sheepdog’s Clothing

Your success in life will be determined largely by your ability to speak, your ability to write, and the quality of your ideas.

Who Are Your "Descendants"?

On AI risk, I’ve said that evolved things have two robust habits: wariness of co-existing rivals, even when quite similar to you, and indulgence of descendants, even when quite different from you.

Our Likely Future Filter: World Govt

The great filter (a term I coined) is all the things that block simple dead matter from evolving into an advanced civilization easily seen from far away.