A viral post says the US trade deficit 'went from $136 billion to $29 billion' under Trump. Both figures are real monthly readings. March 2025 was a record because importers front-ran tariffs; October 2025 was the lowest since 2009 because non-monetary gold was about 90 per cent of that month's rise in exports. The year they belong to closed at $901.5 billion against $903.5 billion — and the goods…
State Navigate had Francesca Hong 29 points ahead in July and 22 ahead on 6 August. David Crowley won Wisconsin's Democratic gubernatorial primary 39.8 to 39.3. G. Elliott Morris's reanalysis of the raw data explains most of it — an electorate modelled far too young, late movement, and non-response bias. It does not explain the rest: a third of voters were undecided, three candidates left the…
Russia's airborne early-warning capability now rests on roughly five aircraft, of which about four can fly — arithmetic on figures Russian sources have themselves conceded. On 7 July 2026 all four flyable aircraft were airborne at once. We checked the estimate against Defense Express, The Aviationist, United24 Media and CyberBoroshno tracking. It holds. Four things in the commissioning dossier did…
The United States produces more oil than any country in history and still imports roughly six million barrels of crude daily. It is not a shortage and it is not politics — most American refineries were built to run heavy, high-sulfur crude, and the shale boom delivered the opposite. We checked the claim against EIA, AFPM and API primary data. The thesis holds. Eight figures in the source brief did…
A 25-part thread from a pro-Ukraine account argued Russia's wartime economy is failing on several fronts at once. We checked every claim against Bloomberg, Reuters, Meduza, Vyorstka, Anadolu and Sberbank's own macroeconomic research. Most of it holds — several figures to the exact digit, and on one point the thread is more conservative than the reporting. Four claims diverge from the record. One…