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Noahpinion

Economics and other interesting stuff

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Here’s how we’re all going to die

Spoiler: It’s vibe-coded superviruses.

The death of Market Street

How San Francisco turned its most iconic street into a giant empty scar.

What if our biggest problems aren’t economic?

A new social challenge for a new century.

Are we watching the U.S. go bankrupt?

No, but there are still reasons for concern.

Economists should be worried about birth rates

Don’t be so quick to dismiss the threat of an aging, declining population.

Where to eat in San Francisco

Part 1 of my personal recommendations.

The end of an era for China's economy

Zhu Rongji's formula won't work anymore. But that doesn't mean Xi Jinping's will work either.

23 low-regret recommendations for AI policy

A guest post by Tim Fist and Saif Khan, with Tao Burga, Arthur Tellis, Ben Schifman, Jonah Weinbaum, and Olivia Scharfman

Roundup #86: Unintended consequences

The MAGA decline; The labor share decline; OPTs and American jobs; AI and Indian outsourcing; Drug users; AI and productivity; Botswana; Interracial Marriage; AI writing

The poverty of anti-tech thought

Some of my colleagues have been led into an intellectual cul-de-sac.

Should we "pace" AI self-improvement?

A guest post by Tim Fist and Saif Khan.

Banning data centers would blow up the U.S. economy

There's one thing keeping us afloat right now, and people want to get rid of it.

Are the Democrats going to save us this time?

And if not, what do we do?

The end of the age of heroes

AI will soon be better at math than any human. What does that mean?

Slopulism is taking over America

Sometimes bad populist ideas are just a mistake; sometimes they're being promoted for ideological reasons.