Forecasting a Third Term
On whether he means it.
Above The Fold
The best of what's new at Manifold Markets
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Prize and Charity Drawings
Want good odds for a great cause? Or try your luck at winning cash prizes.
Forecasting Ithaca
Brave Odysseus, historically-accurate Odysseus, diffusion model-generated Odysseus
Man vs Bin
The bin is the unity candidate.
The (mostly) Beautiful Game
The football has been excellent. The governance less so.
Forecasting Maine
With Platner Likely Out, What do the Markets Say?
Changelog 7/1: Manifold Jobs, Live Goal Markers, and a Big Pile of Small Improvements
We’ve been working on some really cool new things which are hopefully coming soon, but for now, here’s all of the minor improvements we’ve made in recent weeks.
Forecasting the World Cup
Knockouts are underway!
Temporary Unavailable
And probably back soon.
Changelog 6/9: Official World Cup Markets from @ManifoldSports, Auto-Resolution, Dashboard Revival, Updated Community Guidelines, and more
Fresh features in time for the World Cup!