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Ned Dwyer

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Infinite Bullets, Not Enough Barrels

I think I might have superintelligence. I wasn’t born with it, I didn’t learn it or get bitten by a radioactive spider. It’s the large language models. Though the impact is smaller, and more boring than I expected, it’s a more useful version that I use every day.

Bad at Magnitudes

AI success on open-ended problems jumped from 25% to 76% in eight months. That’s the topline of Anthropic’s recent post . The deeper number, buried two paragraphs down: the doubling time on task length is itself shrinking, from seven months to four. The slope isn’t just steep. It’s steepening. 1

Grand Theory of AI Skepticism (In UX Research)

Most cynicism about AI in UX research is two years stale. I spend a lot of time on r/UXResearch and on calls with researchers using Great Question. The same misperceptions come up in both. Confidently, often in upvoted comments, often in the same breath as “I haven’t actually tried it lately.” That gap, between confident take and recent data, is the whole post.

Why I'm in the Codebase

Last week I shipped my first feature. It’s a small one. For about five years, Great Question logged everyone out after two hours, no matter what. A hard-coded number an engineer dropped into a pentest fix back in 2021 that nobody ever went back and questioned. Security teams had asked for a tight limit, so we gave everyone the tight limit, and then everyone got logged out mid-session and…

You Have to Touch AI Psychosis

Still from The Shining (1980), dir. Stanley Kubrick. Andrej Karpathy hasn’t handwritten a line of code since December . His ratio of typed-to-delegated went from 80/20 to 0/100 in a few months. Mitchell Hashimoto says entire companies are now in AI psychosis and can’t be reasoned with about it. Garry Tan says a third of the CEOs he knows are sleeping four hours a night because they…

Inject the AI straight into my veins.

If you want to fast-track your way to being a state-of-the-art AI-first team, the best thing you can be doing is bringing in AI-pilled guest speakers to indoctrinate your team.

I Vibe Coded Qualtrics in a Weekend

I had a few hours free on Sunday, so I decided to vibe code Qualtrics. Surveys, branching logic, response collection, a dashboard. The lot. By the end of the afternoon I had something that genuinely worked.

Seed Stage Investor Update Template

Every month I write an update to our investors and advisors. I’ve been doing this since before Great Question was a company, before we wrote any lines of code. And almost every month I get asked by folks on that list if they can copy the format, or share a sanitized version with their portfolio companies.

Emerging infrastructure and the entrepreneurial opportunity

Photo by Jake Sloop on Unsplash Less than 10 years ago one of the first steps in launching your web or mobile app was buying and setting up your own dedicated hardware in a back room or remote server farm.

Your expense policy is hurting your team

Especially those who can least afford it. Photo by Crawford Ifland on Unsplash For most companies their expense policy is an afterthought. It starts off informally. “Spend as if it’s your own money”.

What the Quickbooks Accounting community can learn from GoDaddy Pro

What Intuit ProAdvisors can learn about QuickBooks LIVE from the GoDaddy Pro launch With QuickBooks recent testing of an integrated bookkeeping service many accountants & bookkeepers have raised valid concerns about whether the platform they promote is about to compete with them. For me this is a case of history repeating. In 2015 I joined GoDaddy as Director of Product working to help our web…

Welcome Spritz — the world’s most refreshing corporate card

Welcome Spritz — the world’s most refreshing corporate card Today I’m excited to launch Spritz: the world’s most refreshing corporate card. Every company in the world has expenses but no one likes doing them. We’re here to change that.

My love affair with large, competitive, fragmented markets

Benedict Evans on Twitter The Startup Fork: If it doesn’t look like something we already have, the problem doesn’t exist. If it does, the problem’s already solved. It’s easy to think all the good startup problems in B2B SAAS have already been solved.

The Grand Theory Of Customer Validation

Talking to customers is a critical factor in building a successful company. It’s never more important than when you’re just getting started and still pre-product/market fit. All of the secondary research in the world won’t tell you how people actually think, how they rank their pain points in comparison to others, or what they’ll pay for a given solution in time or money.

There is no Show Business Commission

In the latest season of Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee, Alec Baldwin talks about the Show Business Commission. The Show Business Commission is a shadowy organization that identifies people with “enormous talent and tremendous potential” and yet “don’t really know what do to with it”.

The Kanye West Work Ethic @ Rap Camp

In late 2009 Kanye West set himself up in a mansion in Hawaii to record one of the greatest albums of all times: My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy.

19 Things I’ve Done

Since I was a little kid I’ve always looked for ways to make a buck. In primary school I remember selling lollypops for 50 cents each from a bag of 50 that cost me a few bucks.

Managing your psychological runway

It wasn’t an easy decision to sell out . We had spent almost three years working on Elto and we felt like we were close to breaking out. At the same time we felt equally as close to breaking down.

Seek rejection

This is a post first published in August 2011 from my long-lost WordPress blog, reposted here for posterity. I’m a massive fan of rejection. It’s what keeps me moving. If I wasn’t a fan I probably wouldn’t be in the business I am in.