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Less Certain

Honest political writing for people tired of easy answers. Analysis that questions certainty, yours and mine. Wellington based.

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Immigration Has Lost Social Licence

Winston Peters is racist, but he is also highlighting an actual real social and political issue we all need to grapple with. Immigration and the problems it creates.

That’s Not the Point, Prime Minister

Our Prime Minster saying it won't work with the Opportunity Party is politically and morally irresponsible. MMP is meant to build coalitions, not single party governments.

National Opened Door and NZ First Closed Door

What the timing of a trade deal, a state visit, and a voting policy says about who we want here and who we want to hear.

NZ First Xenophobic Policy

Why NZ First's voting rights policy is both xenophobic and a waste of everyone's time. Below what the law is currently, what they want to do and why it's a problem

What The Opportunity Party Is Attempting to Do Is Nearly Impossible. Yet…

Will they make it in? Can this political momentum materialise into votes? These are the debates worth having and understanding, not whether Q deserves media attention or not.

The 2026 Greens Tax Policy: the good and the bad

I feel they cracked it. Finally, a tax policy out of the Greens that makes sense.

What is the right question about the Immigration NZ saga?

Nobody had to mean it. The informal rules won over the formal ones and so decided who held power, and it wasn't the minister.

Budget Day is About Values Not Money

Set the money aside, and Budget Day is where a government tells you what it cares about. This year that value is responsibility, theirs as a government and yours as an individual.

Dear Nicola: Where’s my $5,000?

Households didn’t get $5,000, but defence, landlords and businesses did. The past two budgets and where the money actually went.

Can Qiulae Wong Become the New Queenmaker?

Less Certain took a break, but we are back earlier than expected because the election does not wait. Six months out from November, there is a lot to catch up on.