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Nadeem’s Substack · Jul 10, 2026

Freelancing Is Not a Jobs Policy

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Aid, Poverty, Growth · Nadeem’s Substack

Officials and professors frequently point to freelancing as a possible career. Young people are told to learn a digital skill, open an account on Upwork or Fiverr and start earning dollars. Convenient story because it shifts responsibility away from universities, firms and government. Universities can continue producing graduates with weak professional skills. Government can evade the harder task of creating a competitive economy that generates productive employment.

Freelancing is a real opportunity. A programmer in Peshawar, a designer in Multan or an accountant in Bahawalpur can sell services abroad without migrating. For capable workers, this may provide better income than the domestic job market, international exposure and access to clients who would otherwise remain out of reach. But this does not prove that freelancing is a career or a stable living, or a substitute for a functioning labour market.

A career is more than a stream of payments. Good jobs place people among colleagues, supervisors, mentors and clients. They learn through collaboration, feedback and observation. They work on projects larger than anything they could manage alone. Over time, they become better not only at a task, but also at communication, teamwork, negotiation, leadership and managing conflict.

Much of freelancing offers little of this structure. It is often lonely work performed from a bedroom, frequently at odd hours because clients are in different time zones. The freelancer moves from one assignment to another without a stable team, mentor, promotion path or institutional home. A worker can become more efficient at completing tasks without acquiring the broader social, managerial and emotional capabilities that develop inside functioning organisations.

Some freelancers do move beyond this. They build long-term client relationships, specialize, recruit colleagues and establish agencies or export firms. The real career begins when freelancing becomes a bridge to a firm, a team and a body of accumulated knowledge.

International evidence shows how large this gap can be. One major study estimated that online labour platforms contained around 163 million registered worker profiles. Only about 19 million had ever obtained work, while roughly five million had completed ten projects or earned at least US$1,000. Most registered workers had therefore earned little or nothing.

These are global figures, not Pakistan estimates, but they expose the weakness of our arithmetic. A person who completes a training course and opens an account may never obtain a client. Yet that person can still appear in program publicity as part of a growing freelance workforce.

We also do not know what the typical Pakistani freelancer earns. There is no credible estimate of median income. This matters because freelance earnings are highly skewed. A small group of programmers, designers, consultants and agency owners may earn several thousand dollars a month. Beneath them is a much larger group with irregular assignments. At the bottom are many entrants who bid repeatedly but earn little or nothing.

An average would therefore mislead. A few successful workers can pull it sharply upward. The more useful number is the median: the income of the person in the middle. Pakistan does not know that figure. Nor does it know how many freelancers remain active after one or two years, how many depend on freelancing as their main income, or how many eventually return to the conventional job market.

Gross receipts are also not wages. Freelancers pay for computers, software, internet, electricity backup, platform charges and payment fees. They spend unpaid hours searching for work, writing proposals, preparing samples and negotiating with clients.

Someone advertising an hourly rate of US$10 may secure only 15 paid hours after spending 40 hours working and searching. The effective rate is then US$3.75 before expenses. There is no paid leave, pension, severance, health insurance or guaranteed flow of work. Illness stops income. A poor review can reduce future opportunities. A platform suspension can destroy a reputation built over years. The worker carries nearly all the risk.

This is why freelancing may be a career for some, a temporary arrangement for others and an extended job search for many. For a student or unemployed graduate, it may provide useful income while waiting for a stable position. For a parent seeking flexible hours, it may be a practical supplement. For a highly specialized professional, it may become a serious business. The reality is that it is neither a career nor ready income!

Artificial intelligence will make the market more difficult and more unequal. Routine writing, basic design, translation, elementary coding and simple research are becoming easier to automate. AI does not need to eliminate the freelancer completely. If one worker can now complete in two hours what previously required six, clients will buy fewer hours. The likely result is not the disappearance of freelancing but a sharper division between those with real expertise and those selling generic tasks.

The key distinction will not be between people who use AI and those who do not. Almost everyone will use it. It will be between those who can evaluate, correct and improve AI output and those who merely reproduce it.

That makes Pakistan’s current training model increasingly obsolete. Short courses in platform use, digital marketing or prompting cannot substitute for education, technical depth, communication, teamwork and professional judgement. Universities cannot continue producing weak graduates and then advise them to become freelancers. They must create environments in which students work with others, solve complex problems and learn how professional communities function.

Government also cannot use freelancing to excuse the absence of growth. A healthy economy still needs expanding firms, competitive markets, investment and organizations in which people can build careers rather than merely complete tasks.

Freelancing is a genuine opportunity. For some, it will become a rewarding career. For others, it will remain supplementary income or a temporary refuge. But lonely work at odd hours, without colleagues, mentoring or a path of advancement, should not automatically be confused with professional development. It is an opportunity, not a substitute for universities, firms or a serious jobs policy.

Read the original on nadeemulhaque.substack.com

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