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Modad Geopolitics

Clear, concise and commercial geopolitical analysis from Firas Modad. Focused on the Middle East and great power conflict.

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After the financial system implodes

Political chaos follows economic chaos.

Libya: return to fighting?

The developments that threaten to further upend the oil market

Thinking the unthinkable

Is Iran is seizing the moment to build a thousand year Revolution? And does that lead to a much larger global war?

The Coming EU Crisis

France and Germany are about to change direction, which would lead to an existential crisis with Brussels

Clash of Civilisations

The Sunni giant awakens

Failed talks, successful attacks, and a fragile economy

The talks between Iran and the USA are unlikely to succeed, at least until the financial system is on the brink.

Iran's Ace

The Iranians think they checkmated the Gulf and the USA. But this is only the beginning.

America's Success in the Iran War

Turkey is on a collision course with Iran and Israel, with Iraq and the Gulf in the crosshairs.

Why the Americans paused

Why they will start again, or restrict their own oil exports.

The Middle East will burn

Ceasefires will probably not be stable, as the war continues to escalate indefinitely.