How to Make a Tribe
Thoughts on US Military Boot Camp
Mike’s Blog
Mike’s Blog
Dormant Last read · last published · next check
Read 10 days ago and current, but nothing has been published for 16 months.
Latest posts
Errata
Hi everyone, I realized that I made a mistake in my recent post Scoring 2024 Election Forecasts, so I’m writing to correct it and apologize.
Scoring 2024 Election Forecasts
How accurate were prediction markets?
Crowdsourced Election Forecast, As Well As My Own
Thank you to everyone who entered the 2024 election forecasting contest! The winners of the cash prizes will be announced once the election results are in and I can score the forecasts.
2024 Election Forecasting Contest - One Week Left!
Here’s the link to sign up and enter your predictions!
Announcing 2024 Election Forecasting Contest
Here’s the link to sign up and enter your predictions!
Puppies and Angry Customers
An Economic Parable
KALSHI WINS LAWSUIT AGAINST CFTC!!!
The prediction market platform Kalshi announced on their company Discord serve (which is open to the public) that they’ve won their lawsuit against the CFTC, which had previously banned them from operating prediction markets on US election.
Ode to the American Tinkerer
My favorite thing about this country is the feeling that you can just do things.
Book Review: Build, Baby, Build
In Build, Baby, Build, economist Bryan Caplan tries a new strategy that, as far as I know, no libertarian has ever attempted before: actually communicating to normal people about how a free-market policy could improve their lives.