In a recent Darkhorse podcast, Bret Weinstein spoke with Jakob Shockey, a former student of his who has spent years reintroducing beavers to America’s waterways. Much of the conversation focused on beavers, which I found very interesting. But what resonated most with me was Shockey’s account of what the non-profit world had taught him: that an NGO, like any other bureaucracy, is eventually captured by the people who administer it rather than the people who believe in its cause.
Jerry Pournelle, the late scientist and science fiction writer, called this the Iron Law of Bureaucracy:
In any bureaucratic organisation there will be two kinds of people. First, those who are devoted to the goals of the organisation: dedicated classroom teachers in an education system, many of the engineers and scientists at NASA. Second, those devoted to the organisation itself: many of the administrators, the professors of education, the union officials, much of the headquarters staff. The Iron Law states that in every case the second group will gain and keep control of the organisation. It will write the rules, and it will control promotions.
This applies to schools, governments and universities as readily as to charities. The administrator’s task is to keep the organisation funded and running, and as the organisation grows that task steadily crowds the mission out. The moment a founder becomes effective enough that the work begins to make people uncomfortable, the founder and the administrators want different things, and the administrators almost always prevail. Controversy, which is usually the sign that the work is having an effect, is treated as a danger. Whole areas of activity are quietly abandoned. Over time the organisation fills up with work that offends no one and changes nothing.
Shockey provides an unusually clear description of the mechanism because he has experienced it first-hand as a sought-after speaker on the conservation fundraising circuit. He points out that the galas that sustain these organisations are not really selling the cause. They are selling donors an evening, a sense of virtue, and the company of like-minded individuals. The cause represented by the banner merely needs to be somewhat noble. This has a precise consequence. Any project that is effective enough to make a wealthy donor feel uneasy is ruled out before it is ever proposed because it threatens the relationships that the organisation relies on for funding. This selection process favours work that is least likely to make a difference.
This aligns with my own experience of working with NGOs. For instance, over the past few months, I have held conversations with several environmental NGOs and funders regarding some of the reasons why the environmental movement has lost public support. One of my contacts at a major environmental funder provided me with unusually honest feedback. She said that her colleagues didn’t want to have the conversation with me because my approach didn’t align with the current direction of their organisation. They didn’t disagree with me, but they preferred to avoid the discomfort.
The whole point of my work, of course, is to facilitate uncomfortable conversations. But the value of such a conversation rests on the assumption that the people running these organisations want to know whether their work is achieving anything. Often they do not. As long as their funders and their boards are content, there is no professional reason to ask, and a good deal of reason not to.
I worked at WWF-UK for 6 years, and the dominant experience there was not campaigning but coordination. Much of the staff spent something like two-thirds of their time in internal meetings whose only function was to manage the relationship between one part of the organisation and another. The larger these organisations grow, the more internal activity is required simply to hold them together. The leadership’s reflexive response to such dysfunction is to add another layer of management, which only serves to exacerbate the problem.
The fact that the same pattern recurs in countless organisations suggests that it is not individuals that matter, but rather that the problem is structural. This mechanism was first identified by Robert Michels in 1911 when he studied the German Social Democratic Party. At the time, it was the largest and most idealistic socialist party in the world. However, Michels found that it had quietly hardened into a self-serving apparatus. Michels’ Iron Law of Oligarchy states that any organisation, however democratic its origins, will inevitably become controlled by a small professional class, and this happens for reasons that have nothing to do with bad faith.
Once an organisation reaches a certain size, it can no longer be run on conviction and volunteers alone. The professionals hired to administer it acquire a grip on the institution through their control of the daily machinery that the membership and the mission can no longer break. The professionals win the internal contest because their incentives are stronger: a charity earns no profit for being effective, so the surest way to protect a salary and a reputation is to avoid visible failure and keep the funding flowing. The bold, contentious work that might actually effect change is exactly the kind of work that puts both at risk.
When a founder stands in the way of that logic, the founder has to go. Paul Watson, one of the original crew that created Greenpeace, was thrown off its board in 1977 by a vote of 11 to 1, after he broke the group’s witness-only doctrine by wresting a club from a seal hunter on the ice and throwing it into the sea. He was too confrontational for an organisation that was learning to manage its image and its donors, so he left and founded the Sea Shepherd Conservation Society. Greenpeace later went further than expelling him and rewrote its own founding story to leave him out of it, which is its own small masterpiece of administrative housekeeping. Shockey observes the same sequence in the conservation organisations he knows: each successive hire is a little less attached to the cause and a little more attached to keeping a job, until the founder, with his habit of saying inconvenient things that might cost the organisation money, becomes a liability to be managed out. In Bret Weinstein’s words, what remains is a “cryptic jobs programme disguised as something with a purpose”.
In a bureaucracy, the means eventually displace the ends. The endless internal coordination I described at WWF-UK is the everyday form of what Robert Merton called goal displacement: the procedures invented to serve the mission slowly become the mission itself. This is how an entire staff can spend most of its week in coordination meetings and still feel productive. It becomes the path of least resistance, and once the founders are gone there is no longer anyone with both the authority and the motive to stop it.
The end point is an organisation whose real purpose has become its own survival, and this is where the loss of mission turns from simple neglect into something stranger. Theodore Dalrymple, who coined the phrase “charitable-bureaucratic complex”, pointed out that a charity has a built-in need to grow, and that the need does not switch off when the original problem is solved. Amnesty International is his example. It began in 1961 with a deliberately narrow purpose, freeing individual prisoners of conscience, and as the supply of suitable prisoners failed to keep pace with the organisation’s appetite, its mission widened by stages into an all-purpose promise to protect people “wherever justice, fairness, freedom and truth are denied”. There is not much danger, Dalrymple observed, of Amnesty ever working itself out of a job.
This is a crucial point, because it means that success becomes a threat: an accomplished mission leaves the institution with no reason to exist, so it must keep finding a new one. A classic example is the March of Dimes, founded in 1938 to defeat polio. When polio was eradicated in the United States at the end of the 1970s, the organisation sought a new purpose and found it in improving the health of babies in general. It survives today, despite having long since accomplished its original mission.
The same reflex explains some of the sharper ideological turns of the past decade. As the campaign for gay marriage was won across the West, the large and well-funded gay-rights organisations redirected their budgets and staff almost overnight towards transgender rights, and pushed the issue to the centre of Western politics within a few years, well ahead of any comparable movement among ordinary people.
Environmental organisations did something similar in 2020, when more than 200 of them, Greenpeace and Friends of the Earth among them, endorsed the Movement for Black Lives, and the Sierra Club campaigned to defund the police. Just a few years earlier, in 2016, the Sierra Club’s Beyond Coal campaign was widely regarded as the most effective environmental campaign of the century. However, in the following years it expanded into every popular progressive cause, doubled its labour costs and, by 2025, had lost more than half of its supporters and was facing a $40 million deficit. This was despite its own members consistently ranking climate change as their top concern and racial issues as their lowest.
The most consequential example is the university, whose stated mission, the pursuit of truth, is about as old and serious as any institutional purpose in the West. The social psychologist Jonathan Haidt has argued for years that an institution can serve only one ultimate end, and that many universities have quietly swapped truth for social justice as the value around which everything else is arranged. What makes this administrative capture is who has been driving it. The shift has been led by a fast-growing administrative class: administrators have long come to outnumber faculty on American campuses, and the diversity bureaucracy they staff now reaches into the core of academic life, with diversity statements and criteria built into hiring and promotion. While these dynamics are arguably less intense and arrived later at European universities, they are equally concerning. Scholars who still want to follow the evidence wherever it leads increasingly answer to an apparatus whose priorities lie elsewhere.
The NGO sector has its own literature on “mission drift”, and its recommended remedies are revealing. They consist mostly of better governance: clearer mission statements, regular stakeholder consultation, performance metrics, broader and more representative boards. Almost all of it is the machinery of bureaucracy offered as a cure for bureaucracy. A large and diverse board is the route through which capture ordinarily arrives, because a body assembled to represent every constituency rarely tolerates the singular, awkward focus a real mission requires.
The more serious responses point in the opposite direction, towards less structure rather than more. The first is financial independence. Dependence on a small number of institutional funders, whether government agencies or large foundations, is the most reliable single cause of capture, because the administrator’s task becomes ensuring that the organisation never does anything to endanger the grant. The European Commission made the logic explicit in 2024, when guidance from its own services warned that funding agreements committing NGOs to advocacy aimed at EU institutions could entail a “ reputational risk for the Union”, a judgement grant officers were told to weigh when deciding whom to fund. An organisation funded by many small donors who believe in its work is far harder to domesticate than one dependent on a handful of grant officers.
The second response is to give up the assumption that an organisation should last forever. An NGO designed to dissolve has no institutional self to protect, and therefore no reason to convert its mission into a permanent fundraising operation. The March of Dimes could have declared victory in 1979 and disbanded; that this remains almost unthinkable shows how completely we have learned to confuse the survival of the institution with the success of the cause.
The third response concerns scale itself. Ivan Illich argued that institutions have a threshold of size beyond which they begin to produce the opposite of what they were built for, and the NGO sector is a continuous demonstration of the point. A small organisation does not need a bureaucracy and keeps the people who do the work close to the cause. What has changed lately is that the cost of staying small has fallen sharply: much of the administrative apparatus that once justified a large back office can now be handled with a handful of AI tools, which makes a lean, mission-driven organisation considerably more viable than it was even 5 years ago.
None of this resolves the deeper difficulty, which is that the one arrangement that reliably preserves a mission, its concentration in a founder or a small group with the authority to pursue it without institutional permission, is precisely the arrangement the sector is built to prevent. It even has a pathologising term for it, “founder’s syndrome”, applied to founders who will not hand control to professional management. The phrase assumes that the founder is the problem and the apparatus the solution, when the evidence runs the other way.
Michels believed his ‘iron law’ to be irrefutable, and based on historical evidence, he was probably correct. The capture of power cannot be prevented, only delayed. This can be achieved by keeping organisations small and independent, ready to dissolve once their work is complete.
My personal hope is that the more people who lead non-profit organisations and genuinely want to make a difference, rather than just have a career, understand the dynamics of bureaucratisation, the more they can try to steer against them and avoid some of the worst excesses.
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