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Macro Charts · Aug 2, 2026

Everything Is About to Change.

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Macro Charts · Macro Charts

  • Having spent two grueling months sharing my thoughts on *RISK* management, and avoiding crowded themes — then watching as some of our Core themes/positions went UP during July’s momentum crash, overall I’m proud of the hard work we’ve done, and what we were able to achieve so far.

  • MSFT posted its best day in 18 years, and its best week in 27 years. The stock was up 25% in July, a strong portfolio addition.

  • AMZN posted its best day in 14 years, and its best week in 11 years. The stock was up 14% in July, another solid addition.

  • A few companies and groups are beginning to LEAD the “race to ROI” — and earnings results are validating their strategy.

  • The market is sending a loud and clear message: AI winners will be rewarded. As will their investors.

Momentum chasers could suffer BIG losses, triggering more outflows and deleveraging.

Patient investors focused on holding Quality and Low-volatility stocks could shine.

Who will win this year — the Tortoise or the Hare?

The Race is ON.

  • A LOT of positioning is offsides across many key markets.

  • History may have quite a few tricks up its sleeve (for those who want to study it).

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