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Lucy D'Agostino McGowan · Aug 11, 2026

Symmetric vaccine efficacy

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Traditional measures of vaccine efficacy (VE) are inherently asymmetric, constrained above by 1 but unbounded below. As a result, VE estimates and corresponding confidence intervals (CIs) can extend far below zero, making interpretation difficult and potentially obscuring whether the apparent effect reflects true harm or simply statistical uncertainty. The proposed symmetric vaccine efficacy (SVE)…

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