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Long Walls · Jul 20, 2026

Artificial Intelligence Arms Control Would be a Disastrous Mistake

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Michael Hochberg · Long Walls

Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to significantly amplify a state’s power, and that is why the United States and China, as well as other states, are investing exponentially increasing levels of resources into the pursuit of technologies advancing it.

That’s how my latest, co-authored with Dr. Michaela Dodge of the National Institute for Public Policy, begins.

It is becoming clear that to be a great power, having independent, cutting-edge AI capabilities will be essential for both economic and warfighting reasons.

What is also clear is that the artificial intelligence-based arms we are attempting to control are developing, in layman’s terms, “a mind of their own.” On the one hand, this suggests that finding some way to control the spread of cutting-edge capability is incredibly important, since we are exploring technology that is starting to exercise agency in service of its own protection. The AI models themselves need to be considered as potentially exercising agency within any arms control framework for preventing their spread and their use.

Read our arguments here: National Institute for Public Policy (NIPP)

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