Where to Watch Arsenal vs Paris Saint-Germain: Predictions & Tips

• 29.04.2025, Tue

• Venue: Emirates Stadium (London) (60 704)

• Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain - 44.9% - 27.7% - 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation: 44.5% - 27.4% - 28.3%

• 1st leg.

• Arsenal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

• Recent matches PSG is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

• Arsenal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

• Arsenal will have a small advantage in this match.

• There will not play in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Knee Injury) Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Jorginho (Chest Injury) Partey T. (Yellow Cards) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)

• Last 4 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:4 (average 2.5:1).

• Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 3:1).

• ### Match Preview: Arsenal vs. Paris Saint-Germain

  On April 29, 2025, Arsenal FC will host Paris Saint-Germain in a highly anticipated UEFA Champions League clash at the Emirates Stadium. Both teams come into this fixture with strong recent performances, setting the stage for an exciting encounter.

  **Recent Form:**
  Arsenal has shown good form recently, winning three of their last five matches. This resurgence has been marked by a solid defensive unit and a potent attack, with key players stepping up in critical moments. In contrast, Paris Saint-Germain tops the form guide with four wins from their last five games, showcasing their attacking prowess and depth in talent. Their frontline, featuring world-class players, will undoubtedly pose a significant threat to Arsenal’s backline.

  **Strengths:**
  Arsenal's strengths lie in their disciplined defense and a well-structured midfield that allows for quick transitions and dynamic attacking play. The team is known for its ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities, particularly at home, where they have a robust record.

  Paris Saint-Germain boasts an explosive attack that can change the dynamics of a game in an instant. With seasoned stars capable of finding the back of the net, their versatility in offense can unsettle even the best leagues. Moreover, their experience in high-pressure matches adds another layer of intimidation as they aim to secure vital points in the Champions League.

  **Expectations and Predictions:**
  The bookmakers have the odds slightly in favor of Arsenal at 2.14 for a home win compared to 3.46 for PSG, reflecting a well-matched competition. Our model predicts a 44.5% chance of an Arsenal victory, a 27.4% chance of a draw, and a 28.3% chance of a PSG win. The most likely final score according to our predictions is a 1-1 draw, emphasizing the evenly matched nature of this encounter.

  As both clubs seek to advance deep into the tournament, the clash promises to deliver thrilling moments, tactical battles, and potential for brilliant individual displays. Fans can expect nothing short of a captivating match on this pivotal night in European football.

PSG:27.81%, Arsenal:25.35%

• Neither Arsenal nor PSG have ever won the UEFA Champions League (UCL), but the winner of this semi-final tie will get a shot at making history. Arsenal host the first leg, and although they haven’t reached the UCL final since 2006, they’re unlikely to fear facing the PSG juggernaut in the last four after knocking Real Madrid out 5-1 on aggregate in the quarter-finals.

• Ending that near 20-year wait for a UCL final appearance seems a realistic possibility for a Gunners side who are unbeaten in five prior H2Hs against PSG (W2, D3), with one of those wins coming last October when Arsenal won 2-0 in the league phase. That result forms part of an 11-match unbeaten run in UCL home action (W9, D2), and with little to play for in their domestic league with the UCL almost guaranteed for next season, all Arsenal have had to focus on lately is this tie.

• The same can’t be said for PSG who, despite already winning the Ligue 1 title, were still playing for a whole host of records. Those went up in smoke on Friday night though when they were beaten 3-1 by Nice, denying them the opportunity to complete a first-ever unbeaten French top-flight campaign, although the ultimate prize for the Parisians this term remains the UCL.

• Winning this competition is something that has eluded PSG since their takeover, and it’s the one that their supporters will be keen to win above breaking any other records this term. Five defeats from their last six away matches against English teams in the UCL (W1) hardly inspires hope they can take another positive step towards history here, but despite losing their last four UCL semi-final matches, they did dump English opposition out in the last two rounds this season (Aston Villa & Liverpool).

• Players to watch: A Bukayo Saka goal could be a great omen for Arsenal. He closed the scoring when these two sides met at the Emirates in the league phase, one of seven wins accumulated from eight career scoring outings in this competition (D1). Influential PSG star Ousmane Dembélé needs one more UCL contribution to equal the record for most goal involvements by a PSG player in a single edition, which includes six goals across their last four UCL road trips.

• Hot stat: Arsenal have kept nine clean sheets in their last 11 UCL home games.

• Written by Chris Wilson

• Users Predictions: There is no single opinion (52 users predict this). Arsenal will win (votes: 41 - 78.8%). PSG will win (votes: 9 - 17.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.8%).

• High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arsenal will win. (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%)

• Score Prediction (the most likely result): 1:1

More - Arsenal - Paris-Saint-Germain on Live2Sport.com

Arsenal - Paris Saint Germain on TV: Amazon Prime Video united-kingdom, Amazon Prime Video germany, Arena Premium 1 serbia, Arena Sport 1 bosnia-and-herzegovina, Arena Sport 1 croatia, ART Sport 1 kosovo, Asr TV afghanistan, ATV Suriname suriname, beIN Connect indonesia, beIN Connect MENA asia, beIN Connect malaysia, beIN Connect philippines, beIN Sports 1 indonesia, beIN Sports 3 hong-kong, beIN Sports 3 malaysia, beIN Sports 3 singapore, beIN Sports MENA 1 asia, beIN Sports MENA 2 asia, beIN Sports MENA English 1 asia, beIN Sports MENA French 1 asia, Canal+ Extra 1 poland, CANAL+ Foot france, Canal+ Live 1 france, Canal+ Myanmar myanmar, CBS usa, Claro TV+ brazil, COSMOTE Sport 1 greece, Cytavision on the Go cyprus, Cytavision Sports 3 cyprus, Cytavision Sports 3 cyprus, DAZN Canada canada, DAZN New Zealand new-zealand, Digi Online romania, Digi Sport 1 romania, Discovery+ UK united-kingdom, Disney+ argentina, Disney+ chile, Disney+ colombia, Disney+ peru, Disney+ uruguay, Disney+ venezuela, DStv Now africa, ESPN argentina, ESPN colombia, ESPN Norte north-central-america, ESPN peru, ESPN Premium chile, ESPN South south-america, ESPN venezuela, Fast Sports armenia, GBC TV united-kingdom, Go3 Sport Open Baltic europe, Gotv kenya, Inter venezuela, JioTV app india, Max brazil, MAX mexico, Max Sport 3 bulgaria, MEGOGO Futbol 1 ukraine, Meraj Sport afghanistan, M+ Liga de Campeones spain, Movistar Plus+ spain, MTV Katsomo finland, MTV Katsomo+ finland, MTV Urheilu 1 finland, NCI cote-d-ivoire, New World Sport 1 africa, New World Sport 4 africa, New World Sport App africa, New World TV france, Nova Sport 6 czech-republic, NOW TV italy, Okko Sport russia, ON Plus vietnam, Paramount+ usa, Persiana Sports iran, Pickx+ Sports 1 belgium, Pickx+ Sports 1 belgium, Premier Sports 1 ROI ireland, Prima Sport 1 romania, Prima TV romania, Q Arena Asia asia, Qazsport kazakhstan, RTL 2 luxembourg, RTL 2 luxembourg, RTL Club belgium, RTL hungary, RTL+ hungary, RTL Play belgium, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean north-central-america, SBT brazil, Setanta Sports 1 georgia, Silk Universal georgia, SiriusXM FC usa, Sky+ brazil, SKY Go Italia italy, Sky Sport 251 italy, Sky Sport 4K italy, Sky Sport Austria 1 austria, Sky Sport Calcio italy, Sky Sport Uno italy, Solh Sports 1 afghanistan, Sony LIV india, Sony Sports TEN 3 india, Sport TV5 portugal, Sporza netherlands, Stan Sport australia, Sunrise TV switzerland, Sunrise TV switzerland, SuperSport Football Plus africa, SuperSport Football Plus nigeria, SuperSport MaXimo 1 africa, Supersport Maximo 1 nigeria, Supersport Maximo 1 south-africa, SuperSport Premier League africa, SuperSport Premier League south-africa, Tabii turkey, Tapmad pakistan, TDM Desporto north-macedonia, TNT Sports 1 united-kingdom, TNT Sports brazil, TNT Sports mexico, TOD asia, Tring Sport 1 albania, TRT Spor turkey, TSN Malta 7 malta, TUDN usa, TV2 Play norway, TV2 Sport Premium norway, TV 360 vietnam, TV3+ denmark, TV6 sweden, TV8 italy, TVP 1 poland, TVP Sport app poland, TVP Sport poland, TVWan Sports papua-new-guinea, Univision usa, Viaplay denmark, Viaplay iceland, Viaplay sweden, Vidio indonesia, Vivo Play brazil, VIX App world, ViX Latin America south-america, Vodafone Sport iceland, VTM 2 belgium, VTM GO belgium, VTVcab vietnam, Wowow Live japan, Zapping brazil, Ziggo Sport netherlands