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Dr. Juan Camilo Orduz · Oct 7, 2024

Electricity Demand Forecast: Dynamic Time-Series Model with Prior Calibration

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We present an example of a dynamic forecasting time-series model that incorporates a prior calibration process to estimate the temperature effect on electricity demand. The model is based on the previous example Electricity Demand Forecast: Dynamic Time-Series Model . In this second iteration, we borrow the ideas from the Pyro great example Forecasting with Dynamic Linear Model (DLM) where they…

Read on /electricity_forecast_with_priors/

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