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ITR Economics

ITR Economics delivers data-driven economic insight that helps leaders cut through the media noise, anticipate change, and make confident decisions. Our conversations translate complex trends, policy shifts, and market dynamics into clear, actionable guidance grounded in objective analysis and long-term forecasting. Designed for executives and decision-makers, our content clarifies what’s happening now and what’s coming next, so that you can better prepare your business strategy. Tune in today.

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2027 Commercial Construction Outlook: Growth Across the Board | TrendsTalk

This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain explains why the outlook for commercial construction is improving as we move toward 2027. While many sectors remain below year-ago levels, leading indicators are strengthening, and ITR Economics expects growth across every commercial construction vertical covered in the Trends Report next year. Which sectors could see the…

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Treasury Steps Into the Bond Market as Housing Struggles | Fed Watch

This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Connor Lokar examines the Treasury’s move to increase buybacks of long-term US bonds as rising yields and mortgage rates put renewed pressure on the housing market. With single-family housing starts posting a historically sharp June-to-July decline and mortgage rates moving closer to 7%, businesses are facing another reminder of how higher…

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Data Center Demand Is Fueling Growth in Power Generation | TrendsTalk

Data Center Demand Is Fueling Growth in Power Generation | TrendsTalk by ITR Economics

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Inflation Cools, but Is It Enough for the Fed to Hold Rates? | Fed Watch

This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Connor Lokar breaks down the latest CPI report and what it could mean for the Fed’s September rate decision. Inflation delivered a “Goldilocks” reading, but for businesses and consumers waiting for clearer direction on interest rates, the outlook remains far from settled. Connor also examines continued weakness in the housing market, shifting…

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The US Consumer Is Still Spending, But Not Everyone Is Thriving | TrendsTalk

This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain is joined by Senior Economist and Consultant Tara Bayke to examine the health of the US consumer. Retail sales continue to grow, but a closer look reveals a widening divide between income groups as essential costs and credit card pressures affect consumers differently. What does this K-shaped economy mean for businesses over the…

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Global Economic Outlook: Where Growth Is Headed Through 2030 | TrendsTalk

This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain examines where global industrial production is growing today and why today's strongest-performing economies may not be the best strategic locations for the decade ahead. Learn which regions are expected to improve through 2026, which face increasing challenges, and what global businesses should consider when planning for the…

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Fed Holds Rates as GDP Slows: What Businesses Should Watch Next | Fed Watch

This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Connor Lokar breaks down the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady and why Chairman Kevin Warsh says it's time for markets to "play the ball, not the referee." As businesses continue navigating inflation uncertainty, slowing economic growth, and pressure on consumers, what should leaders actually be paying attention to? Connor…

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2027 Economic Outlook: Why Businesses Should Prepare for Slower Growth Now | TrendsTalk

This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain explains how different sectors are moving through the business cycle and what that means for your business in 2027. While parts of the economy continue to grow, leading indicators suggest conditions are changing. Learn why relying on today's momentum could lead to costly planning mistakes and what businesses should focus on…

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Oil Surges, Rate Cuts Fade: What to Expect from Next Week's Fed Meeting | Fed Watch

his week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Connor Lokar previews next week's Federal Reserve meeting and explains why renewed geopolitical tensions, rising oil prices, and higher Treasury yields could reshape expectations for interest rates. As markets adjust to fresh inflation risks, what should business leaders and decision-makers be watching now? If you're trying to understand how today's…

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Inflation Cools, But Are Rate Cuts Really Back? | Fed Watch

This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker breaks down the latest CPI and PPI reports and explains why cooler inflation headlines do not necessarily mean interest rate cuts are back on the table. Learn why falling energy prices are distorting the data, what businesses should actually be watching, and how inflation is affecting consumers differently across the economy. If…

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The Most Fiscally Resilient States for Business Growth | TrendsTalk

This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain examines which US states are best positioned from a fiscal resiliency standpoint and why that matters for your business strategy. Rising debt, pension obligations, and long term fiscal health could play a major role in determining where opportunities emerge as we move toward the 2030 downturn. If your business depends on…

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June Jobs Report, Fed Independence, and the Lisa Cook Ruling | Fed Watch

This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker breaks down what the June jobs report is really telling us about the U.S. economy and why the headlines may not reflect the full story. She also examines the Supreme Court's decision in the Lisa Cook case, what it means for Federal Reserve independence, and why the outcome could shape future monetary policy. If you're trying to…

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