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InvestingOnline · Jul 19, 2026

ETS Case Study #1: How the Evidence Trend System Identified an 80%+ Winner

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Chris Morton · InvestingOnline

“How does the Evidence Trend System (ETS) actually work?”

Rather than explaining the process in theory, I thought it would be more useful to walk through a real-world example.

In this case study, I use Marathon Petroleum (NYSE: MPC) to show how ETS:

  • Identifies a new long-term uptrend

  • Follows the trend as long as the evidence remains intact

  • Recognises when a trend has ended

  • Re-enters if the long-term trend resumes

The current MPC trend has gained more than 80% since it was identified.

More importantly, we also look back at every monthly trend ETS has identified in MPC since 2021—including the smaller ones.

Because successful trend following isn’t about predicting which trend will become the biggest winner.

It’s about following every valid trend with discipline and consistency.

If you’re new to ETS, this is the best place to start.

▶️ Watch the full case study below.

Paid subscribers receive:

  • Weekly updates whenever a new uptrend is identified

  • Notifications when an existing trend comes to an end

  • Access to the latest Evidence Trend System (ETS)

  • Ongoing educational content and market insights

👉 View the latest ETS Trend Model →

Follow the evidence. Build long-term wealth.

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