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Hello China Tech

Decoding China tech for global minds

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Baidu’s AI Spending and Kunlunxin’s $50 Billion Target

Baidu tripled AI capex while its stock fell. The connection to Kunlunxin’s $50bn IPO target is the question this analysis asks.

Unitree’s $50bn Valuation Meets a Longer Robot Timeline

One year after saying robotics’ “ChatGPT moment” could take one to five years, Wang Xingxing put the range at two to ten.

ByteDance Bets Against Its Own Playbook

ByteDance's Seedance won by concentrating teams and compute. This analysis tests whether that method survives a 5-to-10-trillion-parameter language model.

The Folklore Ledger of China’s Robot Boom

Rmb 43.8bn raised by June 12; the spending record is mostly rumor, and the few mandatory filings disagree.

The Like Economy

Hugging Face's mid-year data separates AI attention from AI adoption. For Moonshot, the gap now sits beside a $50bn valuation ask.

Tencent’s Second Book Is One Number

Tencent has quantified what its new AI products subtract from profit, but not their standalone revenue, assets or cash flows.

The Split That Requires No Sale

US and Chinese rules are dividing Tesla's data, software and supply chains without changing who owns the China business.

What I Got Wrong About China Tech

One year of paid essays, scored in public: two calls held clean, one broke on its arithmetic, and one I missed.

The Identity Squeeze

Chinese AI founders turned American identity into a product. Beijing, Washington, and the model labs are all repricing it.

Washington Targets China’s Next Optical Module

The reported draft would exempt the optical modules Chinese suppliers already sell in the US, so the cost would land a full product cycle later.

The Robot Data Moat Has No Common Denominator

Five Chinese robot startups are valued above Rmb 20bn on data claims measured in hours, trajectories, skills and units nobody defines.

AMEC Still Needs the Order

Anonymous sources place Samsung and SK Hynix inside a Chinese toolmaker’s evaluation pipeline, Samsung denies it, and AMEC’s 311% profit guidance came mostly from gains on its equity portfolio.