Climate Change and Climate Refugees | Risk Report 2026/05
Extreme Weather, War, Food Insecurity, and the Geopolitics of Human Mobility
GeoSec Insights
Independent geopolitical analysis on war, power, and strategy, built for clear judgment and informed decision-making.
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Latest posts
The Chinese Strategic Culture Part II | Policy Brief 2026/06
Active Defense, Strategic Patience, and Beijing’s Quest for Recognition
Architecture and the State
How Power Builds Itself in Stone
The Struggle to Reform the UN Security Council | Risk Report 2026/04
Representation, Veto Power, and the Risk of Institutional Hollowing
The Chinese Strategic Culture Part I | Policy Brief 2026/05
Historical Memory, National Humiliation, and the Foundations of Beijing’s Worldview
The Political Imagination
Why Art Belongs in Geopolitics
Middle and Small Powers in the Emerging World System | Risk Report 2026/03
Strategic Risks and Policy Choices in an Era of Competitive Disorder
NATO After Iran as the Alliance Turns Transactional | Policy Brief 2026/04
How the Iran war exposed the limits of automatic solidarity and pushed U.S.-Europe relations toward a harder bargain
The Russia–Ukraine War Through 2027 | Scenario Assessment 2026/01
A structured assessment of the war’s plausible trajectories, key drivers, and forward indicators through the end of 2027
Before Power Acts, It Imagines
As GeoSec nears its first anniversary, I am opening a more personal space inside the platform, one where culture, memory, beauty, fear, and power meet.